Merge branch 'main' into feat/pm-agent-registry-pull-secret

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-auth.md

@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: fix/renovate-auth
+title: Renovate's token needs five scopes, not three; the workflow documented the wrong list, and now probes it
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+**The fix is operator-side.** `RENOVATE_TOKEN` lacks `read:organization`, and it will next lack
+`write:issue`. The operator must re-mint it with five scopes:
+
+- `read:user`
+- `read:organization`
+- `write:repository`
+- `write:issue`
+- `read:package`
+
+The git half fixes the two things that sent the operator round this loop twice.
+
+**`.gitea/workflows/renovate.yaml`**:
+- **The header's scope list is corrected**, with the call each scope serves. The old list named
+  only `write:repository`, `read:user` and `read:package`, and the operator minted exactly that.
+  The preflight's "TO FIX" text is corrected the same way.
+- **A new step, "Preflight - the token has every scope Renovate needs".**
+  - It probes read-only GETs: `/user` for read:user, `/orgs/Home-Network` for read:organization,
+    `/repos/{repo}` for read:repository, `/repos/{repo}/labels` for read:issue, and registry
+    `/v2/token` for read:package.
+  - It reads the token's own scope list out of Gitea's 403 from `/admin/orgs` (names only), and
+    requires `write:repository` and `write:issue` in it.
+  - It says what a failure means: 401 is the value; a Gitea 403 is a scope, and the probe prints
+    Gitea's message; an "Access denied" 403 is a Cilium/Envoy denial.
+  - The token is fed to curl on stdin (`--config -`), never in argv.
+
+**`ci/lint.sh`**: a new guard rejects any non-comment `uses:` in `.gitea/workflows` that needs a
+Docker daemon: `docker://`, `renovatebot/github-action` and Docker's daemon-bound
+`docker/*-action`s. That is the class of bug fixed in #84.
+
+### Root cause, with evidence
+
+Run 350 (task 567, 06:49 UTC) **got further than 348 and 349.** Gitea's router log, filtered to
+the act-runner pod `10.0.0.38`:
+
+    06:49:31 GET /api/v1/user                                   200 OK
+    06:49:31 GET /api/v1/version                                200 OK
+    06:49:31 GET /api/v1/repos/Home-Network/home-network-k3s-impl  200 OK
+    06:49:31 GET /api/v1/orgs/Home-Network                      403 Forbidden
+
+There were no `/v2/` requests: Renovate stopped before extraction. From the job log, verbatim:
+
+    ERROR: Repository has unknown error (repository=Home-Network/home-network-k3s-impl)
+      "url": "https://gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/api/v1/orgs/Home-Network",
+      "message": "token does not have at least one of required scope(s), required=[read:organization], token scope=read:package,write:repository,read:user"
+      "x-envoy-upstream-service-time": "27", "server": "envoy"
+    INFO: Repository finished ... "result": "unknown-error", "exitCode": 8
+
+**This is not Cilium.** The body is Gitea's JSON scope message, Gitea logged the request, and
+`x-envoy-upstream-service-time` shows that Envoy forwarded it upstream.
+
+**The secret WAS updated.** Runs 348 and 349 got `GET /user 403` from `tokenRequiresScopes`. Run 350
+got `/user 200`, and its token scope list now includes `read:user`.
+
+**Why `read:organization` is needed.** Renovate 44.167.0, `lib/modules/platform/gitea/index.ts`
+`initRepo`, calls `helper.isOrg` → `GET /orgs/{owner}` and rethrows on error. Gitea 1.24.3,
+`routers/api/v1/api.go`, puts `/orgs/{org}` behind
+`tokenRequiresScopes(AccessTokenScopeCategoryOrganization)`.
+
+**Why `write:issue` is needed next.** In the same `api.go`, `/repos/{o}/{r}/issues…`, `/labels`
+and `/milestones` sit in a group with `tokenRequiresScopes(AccessTokenScopeCategoryIssue)`
+(lines 1466–1582). Renovate's gitea-helper uses `/issues`, `/issues/{n}/labels`, `/labels` and
+`/issues/{n}/comments`, for the dependency dashboard (`:dependencyDashboard` is extended) and for
+PR labels. A dry run only reads them; a scheduled run writes them.
+
+The other causes the coordinator listed are ruled out:
+- **Schedule window and dry-run.** The run never reached branch processing.
+- **Repository config.** The run never reached the clone (`"cloned": undefined`).
+- **The Summary step.** It is not involved; the failure is Renovate's own exit 8.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- I read the whole run 350 job log (204 lines), and the router lines above. Runs 348 and 349 are
+  as recorded in `decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-first-run.md`'s follow-up: `/user` got 403 from
+  `tokenRequiresScopes`.
+- **The probe step, in the pinned image.** I extracted the step body from the YAML and ran it in
+  `ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate:44.167.0` (`curl` 8.5.0 and `jq` are present) with a deliberately
+  **bogus** token. Every probe reported 401 with the "token VALUE" diagnosis, the scope-list read
+  fell back to a warning, and the step exited 1.
+- **The scope-list parser.** Against run 350's exact message format it reports `write:issue`
+  MISSING. Against a five-scope list it reports both OK. Against `all` it reports both OK.
+- **The lint guard.** It flags `renovatebot/github-action` in the pre-#84 `renovate.yaml`
+  (dfc432c, line 152). It reports nothing on the current workflows, and it ignores commented
+  lines. `bash -n ci/lint.sh` passes.
+- **Account facts, read-only.** `renovate-bot` is a collaborator with `write`, and the org is
+  public.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **The probe with a real token. UNVERIFIED.** I never had the token. In particular, I have not
+  observed that `GET /api/v1/admin/orgs` gives renovate-bot's token a 403 with a `token scope=`
+  list. The source says the scope check runs before `reqSiteAdmin`. If the message format
+  differs, the step warns and does not fail.
+- **That five scopes are enough for a full non-dry run.** They cover every helper endpoint Renovate
+  44.167.0 calls, mapped to Gitea 1.24.3's route categories by reading source. Branch pushes go
+  over git-over-HTTPS with the token; I believe that needs write:repository, but I have not
+  observed it.
+- **Registry reads as renovate-bot.** `read:package` on a public org is expected to work. The new
+  probe is the first real test of it.
+- **Sensitive paths.** `.gitea/**` and `ci/**` are both sensitive. CI's `approval-policy` will block
+  until the operator posts `/approve-override` as a PR review.

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-first-run.md

@@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: fix/renovate-first-run
+title: Renovate never started because its action needs a Docker daemon jobs here do not get; it now runs as the job container
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+**`.gitea/workflows/renovate.yaml`**: the job no longer uses `renovatebot/github-action`. The
+pinned Renovate image (`ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate:44.167.0`, the same version the action was
+pinned to) is now the job's `container:`. A `run:` step calls `renovate-entrypoint.sh renovate`
+inside it. `actions/checkout` is gone, because Renovate clones the repo itself.
+`GITHUB_COM_TOKEN` is wired from a new **optional** secret, `RENOVATE_GITHUB_COM_TOKEN`. The step
+unsets it, and `RENOVATE_DRY_RUN`, when they evaluate to the empty string. The preflight also
+prints `renovate --version`, which proves the step ran inside the pinned image.
+
+**`renovate.json5`**: one comment now names `container.image` as the version pin, in place of
+`renovate-version`. The config itself is unchanged.
+
+### Why: the root cause
+
+Every run of the action died before Renovate started. That includes the operator's dispatch,
+run 343 (task 555, 2026-10-30 06:14 UTC), and the 11 scheduled runs before it (312–322). From
+run 343's log:
+
+    RENOVATE_TOKEN is present (value not printed).
+    [command]/usr/bin/docker run --env LOG_LEVEL ... --env RENOVATE_TOKEN=*** --env RENOVATE_CONFIG_FILE=/github-action/renovate.json5 ...
+    failed to connect to the docker API at unix:///var/run/docker.sock; check if the path is correct and if the daemon is running: dial unix /var/run/docker.sock: connect: no such file or directory
+    Error: The process '/usr/bin/docker' failed with exit code 1
+
+The action is only a wrapper around `docker run`. On this runner a job deliberately gets no
+Docker daemon (`decisions/2026-10-29-image-pipeline.md`): act_runner maps `docker_host` to `-` when
+`DOCKER_HOST` is `tcp://`, and the DinD daemon is privileged. So this was a
+platform-compatibility failure. The run never reached authentication, token scope, config or the
+network. **The re-minted token is not implicated, and nothing in this log can say whether its
+scopes are right.**
+
+A job `container:` needs no daemon. act creates it through the runner's DinD the same way it
+creates the default `ubuntu-latest` image, then `exec`s each step inside it. I checked this
+against gitea/act v0.261.2:
+
+- The job container's entrypoint is `/bin/sleep` (`run_context.go`). The Renovate image has
+  `/usr/bin/sleep`.
+- The step command files are written `0o666` (`step.go`), so the image's uid 12021 can write
+  `$GITHUB_STEP_SUMMARY`.
+- `HOME` comes from the image env.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- **The root cause.** I read all of run 343's job log (162 lines, job 0; job 1 is 404). It has one
+  error, quoted above, and no Renovate output at all. Runs 312–322 are all `failure` from the
+  `schedule` event.
+- **The config validates against the pinned tag.** `podman run ... ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate:44.167.0
+  renovate-config-validator /tmp/renovate.json5` printed `Config validated successfully`. It also
+  printed the known migration diff for the top-level `docker` block.
+- **A dry run with the fix extracts and looks up dependencies.** This was a local reproduction. I
+  made a clean snapshot of this branch's tracked files. I ran it in a podman container of the pinned
+  image with entrypoint `/bin/sleep`, as the image's own uid 12021 with `HOME=/home/ubuntu`.
+  Inside it I `exec`ed the workflow step's `run:` body, extracted verbatim from the YAML, with:
+  - `RENOVATE_PLATFORM=local`, `RENOVATE_DRY_RUN=full` and `GITHUB_COM_TOKEN=` (empty, to
+    exercise the unset);
+  - a docker host rule for `gitea.home.keithjackson.dev` using the `gitea-admin` credential from
+    `~/.git-credentials`, passed through env and never printed.
+
+  The run exited 0 and logged `Dependency extraction complete`:
+  - flux 15 deps / 13 files
+  - github-actions 24 / 4
+  - kubernetes 131 / 67
+  - kustomize 2 / 2
+  - regex (both custom managers) 7 / 6
+  - **total 179 deps / 92 files**
+
+  It found **42 updates**: 29 kubernetes, 6 flux, 2 kustomize, 1 github-actions and 4 regex
+  `digest`. 7 of them are `major`.
+- **The `# renovate-digest:` lookups against the Gitea registry succeed.** All three
+  `/v2/token?scope=repository:home-network/<img>:pull` requests succeeded, and so did
+  `HEAD /v2/home-network/<img>/manifests/main`. They proposed `digest` updates for
+  `conformance/versions.env`, `infra/agent/versions.env`, `platform/pm-agent/configmap.yaml` and
+  `platform/pm-agent/deployment.yaml`, all of which carry the zero placeholder digest today. The
+  `kubernetes` manager's copies of those images report `disabled`, which is the intended effect of
+  the packageRule.
+- **The new pin is still maintained by Renovate.** The github-actions manager extracts
+  `ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate:44.167.0` from `renovate.yaml` as depType `container`, and proposes
+  44.198.0.
+- **The `regex` vs `custom.regex` question from #73/#77 is closed.** Both custom managers produced
+  dependencies.
+- **Missing GitHub token.** The local run logged `GitHub token is required for some dependencies`.
+  That accounts for 17 deps skipped with `github-token-required`, which is why
+  `RENOVATE_GITHUB_COM_TOKEN` is offered as an optional secret.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **The workflow on the real runner. UNVERIFIED.** My reproduction ran with podman, not
+  act_runner + DinD, and used `--platform=local`. The act behaviour (sleep entrypoint, `exec` as the
+  image user, 0666 command files) comes from reading the gitea/act v0.261.2 source, not from a run.
+  The first real evidence will be a `workflow_dispatch` after merge.
+- **The Gitea platform path and `RENOVATE_TOKEN`'s scopes. UNVERIFIED.** I have no access token, only
+  the `gitea-admin` password, which Renovate's Gitea platform cannot use. So these were not
+  exercised: platform init (`GET /user`, which needs `read:user`), repo clone, and the registry
+  lookups using the **token** with `read:package` rather than a password.
+- **Behaviour inside the schedule window.** A dispatch outside 03:00–06:00 America/New_York
+  (07:00–10:00 UTC during EDT) will extract and look up, but will log "not within schedule"
+  instead of `DRY-RUN: Would create ...` lines. I did not change this.
+- **Renovate as uid 12021 doing artifact updates** (for example helm lockfiles) on a real,
+  non-dry run. `--dry-run=full` does not run the tools.
+- **The self-bump.** Renovate will propose `ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate` 44.167.0 → 44.198.0 as a
+  minor, which the default rule auto-merges. `.gitea/**` is a sensitive path, so it will in fact
+  wait for an administrator override. Nothing re-runs `renovate-config-validator` on that bump,
+  and no gate check runs the validator.
+- **No alert for "Renovate red every day".** That gap is still open. This failure ran for 12 days
+  without anyone noticing.
+- **Sensitive path.** `.gitea/**` is in `infra/gitea/approval-policy.json`, so CI's
+  `approval-policy` stage will block until the operator posts `/approve-override` as a PR review.

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-hold-auth-and-self.md

@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: fix/renovate-hold-auth-and-self
+title: Operator decision — the oauth2-proxy sidecar and Renovate's own version never auto-merge
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+`renovate.json5` gains two packageRules. Both set `automerge: false` and `addLabels: ["needs-review"]`.
+They sit after the auto-merge rule, so they override it at every update type. Each rule's
+`description` carries the operator's reason.
+
+1. **`quay.io/oauth2-proxy/oauth2-proxy`.** This is the single depName emitted for:
+   - `catalog/render.py` `OAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE` (custom regex manager);
+   - the five rendered `apps/wave-*` sidecars;
+   - `platform/crafty/deployment.yaml` (kubernetes manager).
+
+   **Reason:** since v7.13.0, oauth2-proxy validates refreshed OIDC sessions against the access
+   token, not the id_token. Every sidecar sets `--cookie-refresh`, and that path is untested against
+   this Keycloak: the platform oauth2-proxy runs v7.15.5 without `--cookie-refresh`.
+   `render-golden` and `--selftest` pass on the bump, but both check rendered text, not the binary.
+2. **`ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate`.** This is the job `container.image` in
+   `.gitea/workflows/renovate.yaml`. The rule also lists `renovatebot/github-action`, so a
+   reintroduction would be held too. It is not used anywhere today; `ci/lint.sh` rejects it.
+
+   **Reason:** nothing re-validates `renovate.json5` against the new version before it takes
+   effect. The 39.x `CONFIG_VALIDATION` failure is the precedent.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- **The config validates on the pinned 44.167.0.** `renovate-config-validator` printed
+  `Config validated successfully`. The migration diff is only the pre-existing top-level `docker`
+  block.
+- **The flag change is exactly the intended one.** I used Renovate 44.167.0's own
+  `resolveConfigPresets` and `applyPackageRules` to evaluate b4ff287's config and this branch's
+  config against the same updates (the local dry run of the #86 config). Exactly **2 of 29**
+  branch rows differ:
+  - `ghcr.io-renovatebot-renovate-44.x`: `automerge=true labels=` → `automerge=false labels=needs-review`;
+  - `quay.io-oauth2-proxy-oauth2-proxy-7.x`: the same change, and every upgrade in the branch
+    resolves `false`, the `catalog/render.py` one included.
+
+  The other 27 rows are byte-identical.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **The three GitHub-hosted branches** in run 357 (`pin-dependencies`, `kubevirt-cdi`,
+  `intel-intel-device-plugins-for-kubernetes-0.x`) are not in the harness table: my local run has
+  no github.com token. Neither rule's package names can match them.
+- **A live Renovate run with this config.** The next debug-level dispatch should show
+  `needs-review` on both branches.
+- **The oauth2-proxy refresh path itself** remains untested. Exercising it on one app is the
+  review the label asks for.

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-run-hygiene.md

@@ -0,0 +1,128 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: fix/renovate-run-hygiene
+title: Renovate's first completed dry runs, audited; it would have opened red PRs for every app and missed the databases. Config fixed
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+**`renovate.json5` only.** Each change carries a comment quoting the measurement behind it.
+
+1. **Three new regex managers, so updates edit the SOURCE.**
+   - `catalog/*.yaml` `source.image`.
+   - `catalog/render.py` `OAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE`.
+   - CNPG `imageName:` under `platform/` and `apps/`.
+
+   The first two match the rendered line's depName, so the catalog edit and the generated
+   `apps/wave-*` edit land in **one** branch.
+2. **`allowedVersions` mirroring each ServiceDefinition's `update.range`:**
+   - gitea/gitea `<2.0.0`
+   - nextcloud `<32.0.0`
+   - qbittorrent `<6.0.0`
+   - radarr `<6.0.0`
+   - sonarr `<5.0.0`
+   - semaphore `<3.0.0`
+
+   Plus CNPG postgresql `<17.0.0`, because a Postgres major is a migration, not a bump.
+3. **The blast-radius never-automerge list gains** `gitea/gitea`, `gitea/act_runner` and
+   `ghcr.io/cloudnative-pg/postgresql`.
+4. **HelmRelease range widening** (`matchManagers: flux`, ranged currentValue) is never
+   auto-merged and is labelled `range-widen`.
+5. **Majors need a Dependency Dashboard tick** (`dependencyDashboardApproval`) before a PR opens.
+6. **`flux` manager docker deps are disabled.** These are duplicates of `kubernetes` manager
+   extractions.
+7. **`velero/velero-plugin-for-aws` uses `semver` versioning**, so its RC pin can reach a stable
+   release.
+8. **`python` minors are not auto-merged.**
+9. **Two false comments are corrected.**
+   - Ranges "cap Renovate at patches": false, Renovate widens them.
+   - `nextcloud:31-apache` and `docker:27-dind` "cannot be maintained": false, they were.
+
+PR #85 is merged, so nothing here overlaps an open branch.
+
+### The audit: dispatch runs 353 (07:12 UTC) and 354 (07:23 UTC), on 593d0fa
+
+Both runs ended `success`, Renovate `"result": "done"`, `exitCode 0`. Both were at `info` level, so
+I reproduced the per-dependency detail with a debug-level local dry run of the same commit (see
+below).
+
+The runs were inside the 03:00–06:00 America/New_York window, so branches were processed:
+- run 353: 37 "Would commit" branches;
+- run 354: 40, because the operator had added `RENOVATE_GITHUB_COM_TOKEN` 9 s before it.
+
+Gitea's router log for the act-runner pod during both runs shows 317 2xx responses. The only
+non-2xx were all expected:
+- `/v2/` 401: the registry challenge;
+- `/admin/orgs` 403: the #85 scope probe, by design;
+- 6× `HEAD …/manifests/sha256:000…` 404: the placeholder digests.
+
+| # | Class | Count | Cause | Severity | Fix |
+|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| 1 | App-image PRs edit only generated `apps/wave-*` | 9 branches | A ServiceDefinition has no `apiVersion`, so the `kubernetes` manager extracts 0 deps from `catalog/`. The oauth2-proxy sidecar is a Python constant (`catalog/render.py:132`) | **Real problem.** Every such PR fails `ci/render-golden.sh` (reproduced: rc 1 "GOLDEN DRIFT"), stays red and holds a PR slot | git (1) |
+| 2 | CNPG `imageName` untracked | 3 Clusters | The `kubernetes` manager reads `image:` only. The one tracked postgres line was the grant Job (`nextcloud-db.yaml:303`, "keep in step with spec.imageName") | **Real problem.** A real run bumps the Job and leaves the databases behind | git (1) |
+| 3 | Bogus or out-of-policy majors | 5 branches: gitea 28.2.0, qbittorrent 20.04.1, radarr 6.x, nextcloud 35, postgresql 18.6 | Odd legacy tags, plus `update.range` in `catalog/` not being read by Renovate | Risk if run for real: unmergeable PRs, which hold slots | git (2) |
+| 4 | Auto-merge of the merge gate's own host | gitea 1.24.3→1.27.3, act_runner 0.2.11→0.6.1, both "minor" | Not in the blast-radius list. A 0.x minor is breaking by semver | **Risk if run for real** | git (3) |
+| 5 | Range widening auto-merged | external-dns, headlamp (minor); longhorn (blast radius); kube-prometheus-stack (major) | Renovate widens `>=a <b`. The config's comment claimed the opposite | **Risk if run for real:** silently lets Flux adopt new minors | git (4, 9) |
+| 6 | Majors hold PR slots | 10 majors in run 354 against `prConcurrentLimit: 5` | Majors never auto-merge, so they stay open | Risk: starves auto-mergeable PRs | git (5) |
+| 7 | `Cannot find replaceString … alpine:3.22` (INFO) | 1 per run | The same HelmRelease `image:` line is extracted by `flux` and `kubernetes` (also the velero plugin) | Cosmetic. The branch is still right | git (6) |
+| 8 | velero-plugin-for-aws stuck on `v1.14.3-rc.2` | 1 dep, 0 updates | Docker versioning treats `-rc.2` as a suffix, so stable `v1.14.3` and `v1.14.4` never qualify | **Real problem** (silent) | git (7) |
+| 9 | python 3.13→3.15 as auto-mergeable "minor" | 2 files | Language runtime minor | Risk if run for real | git (8) |
+| 10 | `WARN GitHub token is required` | run 353: 5 packages, 17 deps | No github.com token | Real (they were unmaintained) | **operator, done:** run 354 has no WARN and adds `pin-dependencies`, `kubevirt-cdi`, `actions-checkout-7.x`, `major-github-artifact-actions` |
+| 11 | Floating or untagged images (`invalid-value`) | 4: jackett, plex `latest`; pihole, keycloak no tag | No version to compare | Real, already documented | none in git. Pinning by hand is an operator/PM decision |
+| 12 | `runs-on: ubuntu-latest` `invalid-version` | 11 | The github-actions manager extracts runner labels | Cosmetic, debug-only | none |
+| 13 | `Docker Manifest is unknown` (debug) | 3 | HEAD on the all-zero placeholder digests | Expected. Clears when the own-image digest PRs merge | none |
+| 14 | `Docker: error fetching data from DockerHub` 403 (debug) | 5 | Hub refuses `page=11`. Renovate already has the tags | Cosmetic. Updates were still found | none |
+| 15 | `Config migration necessary` | 1 | Top-level `"docker": {"enabled": true}` | Cosmetic, pre-existing | none (as before) |
+
+**Checked and fine:**
+- The 3 own-image digest updates were found in both runs. All 4 `# renovate-digest:` markers parse.
+- No marker failed to parse.
+- No package file is under `conformance/runs` or `tests`, nor is `DECISIONS-LOG.md`, `decisions/` or
+  any `*.sops.yaml` (77 package files checked).
+- `kubevirt-cdi` grouping works.
+- The schedule window behaved as designed.
+- Vulnerability alerts: none in either log.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- I read both job logs in full (132 and 129 lines), and the router log for 10.0.0.38 during both
+  runs.
+- **`renovate-config-validator` on 44.167.0**: `Config validated successfully`. The migration diff
+  is only the pre-existing `docker` block.
+- **Local dry runs.** Pinned image, `--platform=local`, debug, origin/main snapshot. "Before" is
+  593d0fa and "after" is this config; the GitHub-hosted deps were skipped in both.
+  - **Extraction:** `regex` went from 6 files / 7 deps to **19 files / 20 deps**. Every other
+    manager is unchanged: flux 15, github-actions 24, kubernetes 131, kustomize 2.
+  - **Branches:** 33 before, **29 after**. Removed: gitea-28.x, qbittorrent-20.x, radarr-6.x,
+    nextcloud-35.x and postgresql-18.x. Added: velero `v1.14.3-rc.2 → v1.14.4` (patch).
+  - **Gitea, qbittorrent, radarr, sonarr, semaphore and seerr branches** now each carry
+    `catalog/<svc>.yaml` + `apps/wave-*/<svc>.yaml`.
+  - **The oauth2-proxy branch** carries `catalog/render.py` plus the 5 rendered apps and
+    `platform/crafty`.
+  - **The postgresql-16.x branch** carries all three Clusters.
+  - The 2 flux docker duplicates report `disabled`.
+- **render==golden holds for the new branch shape.**
+  - In the toolbox, I applied the gitea branch edit (catalog + apps) and the oauth2-proxy branch
+    edit (`render.py` constant + 5 apps) textually. `./ci/render-golden.sh` reported
+    `all 10 onboarded service golden(s) reproduce`, rc 0.
+  - Negative control, the old shape with only `apps/wave-0/gitea.yaml` bumped: rc 1,
+    `GOLDEN DRIFT`.
+  - Both edits were reverted afterwards.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **The effect of the automerge, label and dashboard-approval rules (3, 4, 5, 8). UNVERIFIED in a
+  run.** `--platform=local` stops before branch processing, so I saw only which updates exist, not
+  their merged flags. The matchers are standard (`matchPackageNames`, `matchManagers`,
+  `matchCurrentValue`, `matchUpdateTypes`). The next dispatch's debug log shows them per branch.
+- **`allowedVersions` under docker versioning** used Renovate's "Falling back to npm semver
+  syntax" path (16 debug lines). That it filters is shown by the five removed branches.
+- **render==golden for the other app branches** (qbittorrent, radarr, sonarr, semaphore, seerr). I
+  proved it only for gitea and oauth2-proxy. They have the same shape: one `source.image` line ↔
+  one rendered `image:` line.
+- **The `allowedVersions` rules duplicate `catalog/*/update.range`** and can drift from it. Nothing
+  checks them against each other. A lint comparing the two is the obvious follow-up.
+- **Any real (non-dry) run.** None has happened. PR creation, labels, auto-merge through Gitea's
+  API and the Dependency Dashboard issue are all unobserved.
+- **Sensitive path?** `renovate.json5` is not in `infra/gitea/approval-policy.json`, as far as I
+  know. CI's `approval-policy` result on the PR is the measurement.

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-track-keycloak-operator.md

@@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: feat/renovate-track-keycloak-operator
+title: Renovate tracks the Keycloak operator (the real Keycloak version), never auto-merged; the catalog's phantom image is pinned as documentation and disabled
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+- **`platform/keycloak/kustomization.yaml`**: each of the three `keycloak-k8s-resources/26.0.6`
+  release URLs (two CRDs and `kubernetes.yml`) now has a
+  `# renovate: datasource=github-tags depName=keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources` marker on the line
+  above it. That is the format the existing `custom.regex` marker manager parses (the kubevirt
+  pattern). A comment explains that these URLs are the Keycloak version. The `Keycloak` CR has no
+  `spec.image`, so the operator's `RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK` picks the server image.
+- **`renovate.json5`** has two new packageRules:
+  - **`keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources`**: `groupName: keycloak-operator`, `automerge: false`,
+    `addLabels: [needs-review, blast-radius]`. A comment explains why. The operator, the CRDs and
+    the server are released in lockstep. The IdP gates SSO for every app and for kubectl. And
+    `passkey-reconciler.yaml` encodes Keycloak 26.0.6 Admin API shapes that the static gate never
+    exercises. Majors still go through the existing dashboard-approval rule.
+  - **`quay.io/keycloak/keycloak`**: `enabled: false`. Its only occurrences are in files that
+    deploy nothing.
+
+  The "STILL CANNOT FIX" comment also gains a one-line correction for keycloak.
+- **`catalog/keycloak.yaml`**: `source.image` changed from `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak` (no tag) to
+  `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6`. A comment says the image is DOCUMENTATION-ONLY and that the
+  operator chooses the real one. `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml` was re-rendered, which changes one
+  line.
+- **`platform/keycloak/README.md`**:
+  - Corrects the false claim "Renovate maintains the version". Until now Renovate could not see
+    the version.
+  - Adds a new section, **"Upgrading Keycloak: the operator IS the version"**. It lists the 26.0.6
+    assumptions in the passkey reconciler to diff against a new tag, and the post-merge checks.
+
+**The phantom: pin and disable, not delete.** `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml` is not listed in
+`apps/wave-1/kustomization.yaml`, and render-golden excludes it (`RENDER_GOLDEN_NOT_ONBOARDED`).
+Deleting it would still not be a no-op:
+
+- It is the fixture for the keycloak cases in `apps/wave-1/tests/app-slis.test.yaml` (the
+  StatefulSet-based `keycloak-down` rule). Those cases are discovered by the
+  every-PrometheusRule-in-apps/wave-1 convention.
+- Removing it means moving that rule and its tests to `platform/keycloak`. That is a separate
+  observability change, not a Renovate one.
+
+Pinning plus `enabled: false` changes one line in a file nothing applies. It cannot affect the
+cluster, and render-golden stays green.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- **Live state, prod, read-only kubectl, 2026-10-30.**
+  - Keycloak CR `keycloak` has an empty `spec.image`.
+  - The operator Deployment runs `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak-operator:26.0.6`, imageID
+    `sha256:8e3a1a56346f…`, with `RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK=quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6`.
+  - `keycloak-0` and `keycloak-1` both run `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6`, imageID
+    `sha256:a93d22e13b86…`.
+  - There is no PrometheusRule containing "keycloak" in any namespace. This confirms the phantom
+    deploys nothing, including its `keycloak-down` rule (see the next section).
+- **`renovate-config-validator`** on the pinned `ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate:44.167.0`:
+  `Config validated successfully`. The only migration note is the pre-existing `docker` block.
+- **Local dry run** (`RENOVATE_PLATFORM=local`, `RENOVATE_DRY_RUN=full`, debug, the same pinned
+  image, this worktree, with a GitHub token passed by environment variable; the token string
+  occurs 0 times in the log):
+  - The regex manager went to 21 files / 24 deps.
+  - `keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources` was extracted three times from
+    `platform/keycloak/kustomization.yaml`, each at `currentValue 26.0.6`, datasource
+    `github-tags`, versioning `semver`.
+  - Each extraction has one update, `26.8.1`, updateType `minor`, and all three share **one**
+    `branchName: renovate/keycloak-operator`.
+  - `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak` was extracted from `catalog/keycloak.yaml` (regex) and from
+    `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml` (kubernetes) at 26.0.6, with `skipReason: disabled` and no
+    updates.
+- **Rule effects.** `--platform=local` does not print each branch's merged flags. So I ran
+  Renovate's own `applyPackageRules` (from `dist/util/package-rules` in the same 44.167.0 image)
+  over this `renovate.json5` for each case:
+
+  | Update | Result |
+  |---|---|
+  | operator minor 26.0.6 → 26.8.1 | `automerge:false`, `groupName:keycloak-operator`, labels `dependencies, automated-update, needs-review, blast-radius` |
+  | operator patch | same as the minor |
+  | operator major | `automerge:false`, `dependencyDashboardApproval:true`, labels add `breaking` |
+  | `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak`, catalog and rendered | `enabled:false` |
+  | control: sonarr patch | `automerge:true`, so the rule did not disable auto-merge globally |
+- **render-golden, host:** `render.py --selftest` passed, and `all 10 onboarded service golden(s)
+  reproduce`. Before the pin, the committed phantom was byte-identical to the canonical render. I
+  re-rendered it after the pin.
+- **Toolbox gate** (commit 24db269, worktree with the ENGINE shim mounting `.git` and the spec
+  repo, `DEV_KUBECONFIG=/dev/null`): **rc 3**.
+  - The only stage that did not run is **`gitea-settings`**.
+  - spec-immutability, decisions-log, lint, l0, render-golden, l1 and approval-policy all passed.
+  - L2/L3 `conformance` scaffold-skipped, as expected.
+  - **Not green.**
+- **Sensitive paths:** none touched (checked against `infra/gitea/approval-policy.json`), so no
+  `/approve-override` is needed.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **A real Renovate run.** No PR was opened by Renovate. The labels and `automerge:false` are
+  proven by Renovate's own matcher, not by an opened PR.
+- **That 26.8.1 is safe to adopt.** I did not diff 26.0.6 against 26.8.1. That includes the
+  reconciler's assumptions: `recurseExecutions` displayName, `updateExecutions`, the
+  `RpEntityName` guard, `requiredActions` REPLACE, and config aliases. The README section lists
+  them for whoever reviews the first bump PR. It also says to take or confirm a fresh CNPG backup
+  first, because a server minor may migrate the schema.
+- **FINDING, not fixed: Keycloak has no deployed "IdP down" alert.** The `keycloak-down` SLI rule
+  exists only inside the undeployed `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml`. promtool tests it, but it is not
+  on the cluster: there is no keycloak PrometheusRule live. Separately, because that file exists,
+  `render.py --emit-waves` would treat keycloak as onboarded. It would then add a Deployment named
+  `keycloak` beside the operator's StatefulSet (the known `--emit-waves` hazard). The proper fix is
+  a separate PR: move the rule and its tests into `platform/keycloak`, then delete the phantom.
+- **The catalog tag can drift.** Nothing ties `catalog/keycloak.yaml`'s documentation tag to the
+  operator URLs. It must be updated by hand after an operator bump, and the README says so.
+- **Concurrent branches** `fix/renovate-hold-auth-and-self` and `feat/pin-pihole-jackett-plex`
+  also edit `renovate.json5`. Neither had merged when I checked. A rebase may be needed.