VeleroNoRecentBackup could not fire for the failure mode that actually happened.
`(time() - velero_backup_last_successful_timestamp{schedule!=""}) > 24*3600` is the
right SHAPE — per-schedule, un-aggregated — but Velero only creates that series once
a backup for the schedule SUCCEEDS, and `time() - <absent series>` yields no series.
So it detects "backed up once, then stopped" and is structurally INERT on "never
backed up". Prod ran with `velero-daily` (the schedule carrying VOLUME DATA) paused
and never-successful: no volume backups at all, nothing alerted, and it was masked
because `velero-daily-resources-only` completed cleanly every 03:00, so every other
backup signal read green while only Kubernetes objects were protected.
A PromQL-only fix is impossible, verified rather than assumed: velero v1.18.1 exports
35 velero_* metric names and every one carrying a `schedule` label is created by a
backup ATTEMPT, not by the Schedule object. A throwaway `paused: true` Schedule on
prod produced ZERO velero_* series, and nothing exposes `spec.paused`. The fact is
not in the TSDB, so the Schedule CRs are exported via kube-state-metrics'
custom-resource-state collector — the path this repo already uses for
kube_node_labels — as kube_velero_schedule_{created,paused,protects_volume_data,info}.
Proven by running KSM v2.20.0 with this exact config against prod's API: the CRD
list/watch rule the chart adds is MANDATORY, not cosmetic — without it KSM emits the
CRS metrics as an empty set, silently.
Three rules, all keyed on PROPERTIES rather than schedule names:
* VeleroScheduleNeverBackedUp (critical) — a Schedule older than 36h with no
successful backup ever. The 36h grace comes from creationTimestamp so a newly
added schedule is not paged before its first run is even due.
* VeleroSchedulePaused (warning) — the direct root-cause signal; a paused backup
schedule must never be silently indefinite.
* VeleroNoVolumeDataBackup (critical) — THE ANTI-MASKING RULE. Fires unless some
schedule with spec.template.defaultVolumesToFsBackup=true succeeded in 36h, so a
healthy resources-only schedule can never make the platform look protected.
Reading the property that DEFINES volume protection (not a name list) matches
platform/velero/volume-policies.yaml and survives renames. `or vector(0)` is
load-bearing: `count(<empty>) == 0` returns no series and would be inert —
absence of the exporter is deliberately the alarm.
Adds the repo's first Prometheus rule-unit-test harness (platform/monitoring/tests/,
wired as the `prom-rules` gate stage). It flattens the COMMITTED PrometheusRule CRs —
never a copy — and pins every rule in the group both ways: quiet on today's healthy
prod state, firing on the reconstructed bad state, with `for:` durations asserted.
Two mutation checks confirm the tests are not vacuous: dropping `or vector(0)` and
breaking the `unless on (schedule)` join each turn the suite red. This is the tool
that makes both of this repo's recurring alert bugs — permanently-firing and
structurally inert — provable offline, which neither yamllint, Kyverno, nor a healthy
cluster can do.
Proof of the fix is by construction; the live metrics cannot show it any more, because
`velero-daily` was unpaused on 2026-09-12 and has since completed 2492/2492 items.
The throwaway probe Schedule and the probe KSM deployment were deleted and the
deletion confirmed; `velero-daily` remains unpaused.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <[email protected]>
The 7 falsely-firing platform alerts (KeycloakDown, KeycloakDatabaseDown,
KubeAPIDown, KubeletDown, VPNTunnelDown, KubeVirtControlPlaneDown,
CDINoDefaultStorageClass) share ONE root cause, not per-rule label mismatches:
the Prometheus PVC is 100% full ("no space left on device" on every WAL commit).
Evidence from the live dev cluster:
- /prometheus is 4.8G/5Gi, 0 bytes free; every scrape logs "Scrape commit
failed ... write to WAL: no space left on device". Scrapes still return 200
(targets show healthy, lastScrape=now) but samples are never stored, so the
TSDB head froze at 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC while the pod clock reads ~19:33 UTC.
- Instant queries at "now" therefore return an EMPTY vector, so every
absent()/==0 platform rule trips. Evaluated at the last-good-sample time each
expr is correctly FALSE (keycloak-0/keycloak-db-1 ready=1, apiserver+kubelet
up=1 x3, tun0 series present, kubevirt control-plane expr empty, CDI default
present) — the rules are correct; the monitor was simply blind.
`retention` alone prunes only by AGE: this cluster is 3d2h old with 3d dev
retention, so time-pruning has NEVER run and 3d of block churn (~1.2Gi/day) plus
a WAL that ballooned past 1Gi overran the 5Gi disk. Fix adds a size-based
retention cap (new MONITORING_PROMETHEUS_RETENTION_SIZE knob) kept below each
env's PVC so Prometheus drops oldest blocks before the disk fills, and bumps the
dev PVC 5Gi->8Gi for real WAL/head/compaction headroom.
- platform/monitoring/kube-prometheus-stack.yaml: retentionSize: ${knob}
- clusters/base/cluster-vars.yaml: knob default 8GiB (base 10Gi PVC)
- clusters/dev/kustomization.yaml: PVC 5Gi->8Gi, retentionSize 5GiB
- clusters/prod/kustomization.yaml: retentionSize 45GiB (50Gi PVC)
- platform/monitoring/README.md: knob table + rationale
Deploy note (PM): the PVC is already 100% full, so Prometheus cannot self-prune
until it can write. The 5Gi->8Gi bump must land as a Longhorn online expansion
(operator PVC expansion / manual patch); once free space returns, retentionSize
keeps it healthy. Watchdog left untouched.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <[email protected]>
jakman85andClaude Opus 5