feat(images): pin pihole, jackett and plex to the digests already running; Renovate follows them

pihole/pihole (no tag)               -> 2026.10.0               sha256:d3413471...
lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:latest   -> v0.24.2865-ls7          sha256:4fcf3cc2...
plexinc/pms-docker:latest            -> 1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c  sha256:e0ab2739...

Each tag was resolved against its registry and matched the pods' imageID, so the image is
unchanged (the pod template string does change, so Flux rolls the three workloads).

renovate.json5: regex versioning for jackett (-lsN) and plex (build-hex); jackett is looked
up on ghcr.io via overridePackageName, because lscr.io is capped at dockerMaxPages=20 pages
and jackett's 32k tags put the running one at #31,980 (dry run proposed nothing without it);
jackett weekly (13 builds in 12 days); pihole deliberately unheld, year rollover = major.
Stale "publishes only latest" prose fixed in renovate.json5 and three runbooks.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <[email protected]>

.gitea/workflows/gate.yml

@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ jobs:
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     steps:
       - name: Checkout
-        uses: actions/checkout@v4
+        uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with:
           fetch-depth: 0        # full history so ci/touched-requirements.sh can diff vs main
 

.gitea/workflows/images.yaml

@@ -107,7 +107,7 @@ jobs:
     timeout-minutes: 75
     steps:
       - name: Checkout
-        uses: actions/checkout@v4
+        uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with:
           fetch-depth: 0   # the per-image change detection diffs against the base commit
 

.gitea/workflows/merge-gate.yaml

@@ -60,9 +60,9 @@ jobs:
   spec-immutability:
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     steps:
-      - uses: actions/checkout@v4                 # the implementation repo
+      - uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262                 # v4                 # the implementation repo
       - name: Check out the read-only spec (sibling path)
-        uses: actions/checkout@v4
+        uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with:
           repository: ${{ vars.SPEC_REPO_SLUG }}  # e.g. Home-Network/home-network-k3s (set in Gitea)
           path: ../home-network-k3s
@@ -74,7 +74,7 @@ jobs:
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     needs: [spec-immutability]
     steps:
-      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+      - uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with: { fetch-depth: 0 }          # full history so touched-requirement diff works
       - name: Install pinned tools
         run: ./.gitea/workflows/scripts/install-tools.sh lint
@@ -85,7 +85,7 @@ jobs:
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     needs: [lint]
     steps:
-      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+      - uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with: { fetch-depth: 0 }
       - name: Install pinned tools
         run: ./.gitea/workflows/scripts/install-tools.sh l0
@@ -96,7 +96,7 @@ jobs:
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     needs: [l0]
     steps:
-      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+      - uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with: { fetch-depth: 0 }
       - name: Install pinned tools
         run: ./.gitea/workflows/scripts/install-tools.sh l1
@@ -107,7 +107,7 @@ jobs:
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     needs: [render-golden]
     steps:
-      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+      - uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with: { fetch-depth: 0 }
       - name: Install pinned tools
         run: ./.gitea/workflows/scripts/install-tools.sh l1
@@ -115,7 +115,7 @@ jobs:
         run: make -C ci l1
       - name: Upload L1 artifacts
         if: always()
-        uses: actions/upload-artifact@v4
+        uses: actions/upload-artifact@ea165f8d65b6e75b540449e92b4886f43607fa02 # v4
         with:
           name: l1-junit-coverage
           path: |
@@ -131,7 +131,7 @@ jobs:
     needs: [l1]
     if: ${{ vars.CLUSTER_AVAILABLE == 'true' }}
     steps:
-      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+      - uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
         with: { fetch-depth: 0 }
       - name: Install pinned tools
         run: ./.gitea/workflows/scripts/install-tools.sh conformance
@@ -142,7 +142,7 @@ jobs:
         run: make -C ci conformance
       - name: Upload L2/L3 artifacts
         if: always()
-        uses: actions/upload-artifact@v4
+        uses: actions/upload-artifact@ea165f8d65b6e75b540449e92b4886f43607fa02 # v4
         with:
           name: conformance-junit-coverage
           path: |
@@ -160,7 +160,7 @@ jobs:
     needs: [lint, l0, render-golden, l1, conformance]
     if: always()
     steps:
-      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+      - uses: actions/checkout@11d5960a326750d5838078e36cf38b85af677262 # v4
       - name: Decide
         env:
           R_LINT: ${{ needs.lint.result }}

apps/wave-0/jackett.yaml

@@ -78,7 +78,7 @@ spec:
     spec:
       containers:
       - name: jackett
-        image: lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:latest
+        image: lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:v0.24.2865-ls7
         ports:
         - containerPort: 9117
         volumeMounts:

apps/wave-0/pihole.yaml

@@ -62,7 +62,7 @@ spec:
     spec:
       containers:
       - name: pihole
-        image: pihole/pihole
+        image: pihole/pihole:2026.10.0
         ports:
         - containerPort: 80
         env:

apps/wave-0/plex.yaml

@@ -120,7 +120,7 @@ spec:
     spec:
       containers:
       - name: plex
-        image: plexinc/pms-docker:latest
+        image: plexinc/pms-docker:1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c
         ports:
         - containerPort: 32400
         env:

apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml

@@ -75,7 +75,7 @@ spec:
     spec:
       containers:
       - name: keycloak
-        image: quay.io/keycloak/keycloak
+        image: quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6
         ports:
         - containerPort: 8080
         volumeMounts:

catalog/jackett.yaml

@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
 name: jackett
 kind: container
 source:
-  image: lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:latest
+  image: lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:v0.24.2865-ls7
 exposure: internal              # LAN-only web UI at jackett.${BASE_DOMAIN} (docs/13 row 4; R-DNS/R-NET)
 egress: vpn                     # indexer scraping via node PIA tunnel + kill-switch (docs/03; ADR-0015; R-NET-05/06)
 storage:
@@ -70,7 +70,8 @@ auth:
     - ^/api/
 update:
   channel: stable               # R-UPD-01
-  range: ">=0.22.0"             # stay on the Jackett 0.22.x stable line
+  range: ">=0.22.0"             # floor only, no ceiling (0.24.x runs as of 2026-10-30; Jackett has no
+                                # major line to hold back from, so renovate.json5 mirrors no cap)
   cadence: "0 4 * * *"
   autoRollbackOnFailedHealth: true   # R-UPD-03
 observability:

catalog/keycloak.yaml

@@ -5,8 +5,15 @@
 # Validates against schemas/servicedefinition.schema.json.
 name: keycloak
 kind: container
+# DOCUMENTATION-ONLY IMAGE. The running server is NOT chosen here: the Keycloak operator
+# (platform/keycloak/kustomization.yaml, three pinned release URLs) picks it via its
+# RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK, and the Keycloak CR has no spec.image. This SD's render,
+# apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml, is not listed in apps/wave-1/kustomization.yaml and deploys nothing
+# (ci/render-golden.sh RENDER_GOLDEN_NOT_ONBOARDED). The tag records the operator's version for
+# readers; renovate.json5 disables Renovate for this image so it cannot raise PRs against a file
+# nothing deploys. The Keycloak version moves with the operator — update this tag by hand then.
 source:
-  image: quay.io/keycloak/keycloak
+  image: quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6
 exposure: public              # login/redirect flows for internet-exposed services; hardened (docs/15; R-DNS/R-NET)
 egress: internet              # normal WAN egress (docs/03; R-NET-05)
 storage:

catalog/pihole.yaml

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@
 name: pihole
 kind: container
 source:
-  image: pihole/pihole
+  image: pihole/pihole:2026.10.0
 exposure: internal            # LAN-only admin UI (docs/13 row 6; R-DNS/R-NET)
 egress: internet              # normal WAN egress (docs/03; R-NET-05)
 storage:

catalog/plex.yaml

@@ -12,7 +12,7 @@
 name: plex
 kind: container
 source:
-  image: plexinc/pms-docker:latest
+  image: plexinc/pms-docker:1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c
 # plexinc/pms-docker env. Rendered VERBATIM onto the app container by render.py (schema env list).
 env:
   # PLEX_UID/PLEX_GID: the image boots as root (s6 PID1), chowns /config to this uid/gid, then drops

conformance/versions.env

@@ -61,7 +61,7 @@ CONFORMANCE_RUNNER_IMAGE_TAG="chainsaw0.2.12-kubectl1.36.4-fc44"
 # chainsaw-job.yaml's @@CONFORMANCE_RUNNER_IMAGE_DIGEST@@ takes the 64 hex digits WITHOUT the
 # `sha256:` prefix this value carries — the trigger must strip it.
 # renovate-digest: image=gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/conformance-runner tag=main
-CONFORMANCE_RUNNER_IMAGE_DIGEST="sha256:0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000"
+CONFORMANCE_RUNNER_IMAGE_DIGEST="sha256:65cc7c1ab576fe8cdf45e7f68c7cf4eb5ce7e0db46e62191f6190c51610b20d9"
 CONFORMANCE_RUNNER_IMAGE="${CONFORMANCE_RUNNER_IMAGE_REPO}@${CONFORMANCE_RUNNER_IMAGE_DIGEST}"
 #
 # AFTERWARDS, TIGHTEN THE BOUNDARY: the header of conformance-trigger-job-shape.yaml asks for

decisions/2026-10-30-pin-pihole-jackett-plex.md

@@ -0,0 +1,96 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: feat/pin-pihole-jackett-plex
+title: Pin pihole, jackett and plex to the digests already running, and make Renovate able to follow them
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+- **`catalog/{pihole,jackett,plex}.yaml` `source.image`** pinned to the tag whose digest was
+  already running, so the *image* does not change:
+  - `pihole/pihole` (no tag) -> `pihole/pihole:2026.10.0`
+  - `lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:latest` -> `lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:v0.24.2865-ls7`
+  - `plexinc/pms-docker:latest` -> `plexinc/pms-docker:1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c`
+- **`apps/wave-0/{pihole,jackett,plex}.yaml`** re-rendered (`render.py --all catalog -o apps
+  --wave-layout --no-image-automation`, in the toolbox). The diff is exactly the three app-container
+  `image:` lines; nothing else moved.
+- **`catalog/jackett.yaml`** `update.range` comment: "stay on the Jackett 0.22.x stable line" was
+  false (0.24 runs, and `>=0.22.0` has no ceiling). Range unchanged; comment corrected.
+- **`renovate.json5`**, four packageRules plus a comment block:
+  - jackett `versioning: regex:^v(major).(minor).(patch)-ls(build)$` (Renovate's linuxserver example).
+  - jackett **`overridePackageName: ghcr.io/linuxserver/jackett`**: not in the brief, and needed.
+    Renovate's docker datasource reads at most `dockerMaxPages` (20, a global-only option) tag
+    pages from any host except a short list that includes ghcr.io (1000 pages). lscr.io is not on
+    that list. Jackett has **32,093** tags, oldest first, ~1000 per page; the running tag is #31,980.
+    Before this rule the dry run extracted jackett at `v0.24.2865-ls7` and **proposed nothing**,
+    with no warning. The override changes only the lookup; the manifests keep `lscr.io/...`.
+    Every jackett rule matches on `depName`, because the override rewrites `packageName`.
+  - jackett `schedule: after 3am and before 6am on sunday`, i.e. weekly. Measured: 13 ls builds in
+    12 days (ls7 built 2026-10-17, ls20 built 2026-10-29). Each is a `patch` and auto-merges, so on
+    the daily window it would mean a PR, a gate run and a jackett restart (Recreate) every day.
+    Weekly picks the newest tag, so it skips nothing. `catalog/jackett.yaml update.cadence` still
+    says daily. That field fed the retired Flux image-automation, and the rule's description
+    says the rule is now the cadence that takes effect.
+  - plex `versioning: regex:^(major).(minor).(patch).(build)-[0-9a-f]+$`.
+  - pihole: **no rule**, as the operator decided. CalVer parses under default docker versioning.
+    Patches and minors auto-merge, and a year rollover is a major (dashboard approval). This is
+    written in a comment.
+  - Corrected the "WHAT RENOVATE STILL CANNOT FIX" comment. It listed these three as floating;
+    they publish immutable version tags.
+  - No `allowedVersions` mirror was added. None of the three catalog ranges has a ceiling
+    (`>=2024.0.0`, `>=0.22.0`, `>=1.40.0`), so #86's mirror has nothing to encode for them.
+- **Runbooks:** `image-policy-stalled.md` no longer says jackett and pms-docker are
+  `latest`-only. In `plex-quicksync.md`, "the floating-image caveat" became "the image-version
+  caveat", because the deployment no longer runs `:latest` with an implicit `Always`, and the symptom
+  is now "after a pms-docker bump". `plex-claim.md`'s two "running `:latest`" mentions are
+  now in the past tense.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- **Live digests** (read-only `kubectl --context k3s-prod`, pod `.status.containerStatuses[].imageID`):
+  pihole-0 and pihole-1 `sha256:d34134716fc3…`, jackett `sha256:4fcf3cc22dd3…`, plex
+  `sha256:e0ab27395614…`.
+- **Each chosen tag resolves to the same digest** (anonymous registry HEAD, OCI index + manifest-list
+  Accept): `pihole/pihole:2026.10.0` = `sha256:d34134716fc3…`; `ghcr.io/linuxserver/jackett:v0.24.2865-ls7`
+  = `sha256:4fcf3cc22dd3…`; `plexinc/pms-docker:1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c` = `sha256:e0ab27395614…`.
+  (For contrast, `pms-docker:latest` is now `sha256:6d778d41…` and `jackett:latest` `sha256:ee6ae915…`.
+  The pods would have drifted on their next restart.)
+- `renovate-config-validator` (ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate:44.167.0) reports "Config validated
+  successfully". The only warning is the existing `docker` block migration.
+- **Renovate dry run** (`RENOVATE_PLATFORM=local`, `--dry-run=full`, 44.167.0, anonymous, includePaths
+  limited to the six files). It extracted all three from both `catalog/` (custom regex) and
+  `apps/wave-0/` (kubernetes) under the same depName, so each lands in one branch:
+  - plex `1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c` -> `1.43.5.11079-b3b13e506` (patch, `renovate/plexinc-pms-docker-1.x`)
+  - jackett `v0.24.2865-ls7` -> `v0.24.2961-ls20` (patch, `renovate/lscr.io-linuxserver-jackett-0.x`).
+    This needs the ghcr override; without it there was no proposal.
+  - pihole `2026.10.0` -> none. That is correct, because 2026.10.0 is the newest numbered tag on Docker Hub.
+- **Automerge, schedule and dashboard flags** come from Renovate's own `applyPackageRules`
+  (datasource-merge, then update-type-merge, the same order as `flatten.js`), run on the resolved
+  config. The local platform does not run the branch worker:
+  - plex patch: automerge **true**, daily window.
+  - jackett patch: automerge **true**, schedule **sunday** window.
+  - pihole (synthetic updates) `2026.10.1` patch and `2026.11.0` minor: automerge **true**. `2027.01.0`
+    major: automerge **false**, `dependencyDashboardApproval` **true**, +needs-review/breaking.
+- **Versioning filters** (Renovate's versioning module): the jackett regex rejects `latest`, bare
+  `0.24.2961`, `amd64-…` and `development-…`. The plex regex rejects `latest`, `public`, `beta`,
+  `plexpass` and `…-amd64`/`…-arm64`. Docker versioning ranks `2026.09.0 < 2026.10.0`.
+- Touched paths (`catalog/`, `apps/`, `renovate.json5`, `runbooks/`, `decisions/`) are not in
+  `infra/gitea/approval-policy.json` `sensitive_paths`.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **That the merge is restart-free. It is not.** The pod-template `image` string changes, so Flux
+  rolls all three: plex and jackett are `Recreate`, so each has a brief outage, and pihole is a
+  2-replica StatefulSet that rolls one pod at a time. The digest is identical, so the image's
+  behaviour should not change, but the kubelet resolves the new tag name and may pull it. The
+  rollout itself was not observed.
+- The implicit `imagePullPolicy` moves from `Always` (`:latest` or no tag) to `IfNotPresent`. This is
+  intended, and was not observed live.
+- A real (non-dry) Renovate run against Gitea, and whether the Sunday window actually opens a jackett
+  PR. The schedule was only evaluated, not exercised.
+- Other `lscr.io/linuxserver/*` images (radarr, sonarr, qbittorrent) may hit the same 20-page
+  truncation once their tag counts grow. Not measured here, and not changed.
+- Plex not self-updating on a version tag was checked only against the running pod (read-only
+  `kubectl exec cat`). `/etc/cont-init.d/50-plex-update` does `exit 0` when `version` from
+  `/version.txt` equals the installed `plexmediaserver` package. Both are
+  `1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c`. I did not boot a pod on a *new* tag to watch that short-circuit.

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-hold-auth-and-self.md

@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: fix/renovate-hold-auth-and-self
+title: Operator decision — the oauth2-proxy sidecar and Renovate's own version never auto-merge
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+`renovate.json5` gains two packageRules. Both set `automerge: false` and `addLabels: ["needs-review"]`.
+They sit after the auto-merge rule, so they override it at every update type. Each rule's
+`description` carries the operator's reason.
+
+1. **`quay.io/oauth2-proxy/oauth2-proxy`.** This is the single depName emitted for:
+   - `catalog/render.py` `OAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE` (custom regex manager);
+   - the five rendered `apps/wave-*` sidecars;
+   - `platform/crafty/deployment.yaml` (kubernetes manager).
+
+   **Reason:** since v7.13.0, oauth2-proxy validates refreshed OIDC sessions against the access
+   token, not the id_token. Every sidecar sets `--cookie-refresh`, and that path is untested against
+   this Keycloak: the platform oauth2-proxy runs v7.15.5 without `--cookie-refresh`.
+   `render-golden` and `--selftest` pass on the bump, but both check rendered text, not the binary.
+2. **`ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate`.** This is the job `container.image` in
+   `.gitea/workflows/renovate.yaml`. The rule also lists `renovatebot/github-action`, so a
+   reintroduction would be held too. It is not used anywhere today; `ci/lint.sh` rejects it.
+
+   **Reason:** nothing re-validates `renovate.json5` against the new version before it takes
+   effect. The 39.x `CONFIG_VALIDATION` failure is the precedent.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- **The config validates on the pinned 44.167.0.** `renovate-config-validator` printed
+  `Config validated successfully`. The migration diff is only the pre-existing top-level `docker`
+  block.
+- **The flag change is exactly the intended one.** I used Renovate 44.167.0's own
+  `resolveConfigPresets` and `applyPackageRules` to evaluate b4ff287's config and this branch's
+  config against the same updates (the local dry run of the #86 config). Exactly **2 of 29**
+  branch rows differ:
+  - `ghcr.io-renovatebot-renovate-44.x`: `automerge=true labels=` → `automerge=false labels=needs-review`;
+  - `quay.io-oauth2-proxy-oauth2-proxy-7.x`: the same change, and every upgrade in the branch
+    resolves `false`, the `catalog/render.py` one included.
+
+  The other 27 rows are byte-identical.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **The three GitHub-hosted branches** in run 357 (`pin-dependencies`, `kubevirt-cdi`,
+  `intel-intel-device-plugins-for-kubernetes-0.x`) are not in the harness table: my local run has
+  no github.com token. Neither rule's package names can match them.
+- **A live Renovate run with this config.** The next debug-level dispatch should show
+  `needs-review` on both branches.
+- **The oauth2-proxy refresh path itself** remains untested. Exercising it on one app is the
+  review the label asks for.

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-run-hygiene.md

@@ -0,0 +1,128 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: fix/renovate-run-hygiene
+title: Renovate's first completed dry runs, audited; it would have opened red PRs for every app and missed the databases. Config fixed
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+**`renovate.json5` only.** Each change carries a comment quoting the measurement behind it.
+
+1. **Three new regex managers, so updates edit the SOURCE.**
+   - `catalog/*.yaml` `source.image`.
+   - `catalog/render.py` `OAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE`.
+   - CNPG `imageName:` under `platform/` and `apps/`.
+
+   The first two match the rendered line's depName, so the catalog edit and the generated
+   `apps/wave-*` edit land in **one** branch.
+2. **`allowedVersions` mirroring each ServiceDefinition's `update.range`:**
+   - gitea/gitea `<2.0.0`
+   - nextcloud `<32.0.0`
+   - qbittorrent `<6.0.0`
+   - radarr `<6.0.0`
+   - sonarr `<5.0.0`
+   - semaphore `<3.0.0`
+
+   Plus CNPG postgresql `<17.0.0`, because a Postgres major is a migration, not a bump.
+3. **The blast-radius never-automerge list gains** `gitea/gitea`, `gitea/act_runner` and
+   `ghcr.io/cloudnative-pg/postgresql`.
+4. **HelmRelease range widening** (`matchManagers: flux`, ranged currentValue) is never
+   auto-merged and is labelled `range-widen`.
+5. **Majors need a Dependency Dashboard tick** (`dependencyDashboardApproval`) before a PR opens.
+6. **`flux` manager docker deps are disabled.** These are duplicates of `kubernetes` manager
+   extractions.
+7. **`velero/velero-plugin-for-aws` uses `semver` versioning**, so its RC pin can reach a stable
+   release.
+8. **`python` minors are not auto-merged.**
+9. **Two false comments are corrected.**
+   - Ranges "cap Renovate at patches": false, Renovate widens them.
+   - `nextcloud:31-apache` and `docker:27-dind` "cannot be maintained": false, they were.
+
+PR #85 is merged, so nothing here overlaps an open branch.
+
+### The audit: dispatch runs 353 (07:12 UTC) and 354 (07:23 UTC), on 593d0fa
+
+Both runs ended `success`, Renovate `"result": "done"`, `exitCode 0`. Both were at `info` level, so
+I reproduced the per-dependency detail with a debug-level local dry run of the same commit (see
+below).
+
+The runs were inside the 03:00–06:00 America/New_York window, so branches were processed:
+- run 353: 37 "Would commit" branches;
+- run 354: 40, because the operator had added `RENOVATE_GITHUB_COM_TOKEN` 9 s before it.
+
+Gitea's router log for the act-runner pod during both runs shows 317 2xx responses. The only
+non-2xx were all expected:
+- `/v2/` 401: the registry challenge;
+- `/admin/orgs` 403: the #85 scope probe, by design;
+- 6× `HEAD …/manifests/sha256:000…` 404: the placeholder digests.
+
+| # | Class | Count | Cause | Severity | Fix |
+|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| 1 | App-image PRs edit only generated `apps/wave-*` | 9 branches | A ServiceDefinition has no `apiVersion`, so the `kubernetes` manager extracts 0 deps from `catalog/`. The oauth2-proxy sidecar is a Python constant (`catalog/render.py:132`) | **Real problem.** Every such PR fails `ci/render-golden.sh` (reproduced: rc 1 "GOLDEN DRIFT"), stays red and holds a PR slot | git (1) |
+| 2 | CNPG `imageName` untracked | 3 Clusters | The `kubernetes` manager reads `image:` only. The one tracked postgres line was the grant Job (`nextcloud-db.yaml:303`, "keep in step with spec.imageName") | **Real problem.** A real run bumps the Job and leaves the databases behind | git (1) |
+| 3 | Bogus or out-of-policy majors | 5 branches: gitea 28.2.0, qbittorrent 20.04.1, radarr 6.x, nextcloud 35, postgresql 18.6 | Odd legacy tags, plus `update.range` in `catalog/` not being read by Renovate | Risk if run for real: unmergeable PRs, which hold slots | git (2) |
+| 4 | Auto-merge of the merge gate's own host | gitea 1.24.3→1.27.3, act_runner 0.2.11→0.6.1, both "minor" | Not in the blast-radius list. A 0.x minor is breaking by semver | **Risk if run for real** | git (3) |
+| 5 | Range widening auto-merged | external-dns, headlamp (minor); longhorn (blast radius); kube-prometheus-stack (major) | Renovate widens `>=a <b`. The config's comment claimed the opposite | **Risk if run for real:** silently lets Flux adopt new minors | git (4, 9) |
+| 6 | Majors hold PR slots | 10 majors in run 354 against `prConcurrentLimit: 5` | Majors never auto-merge, so they stay open | Risk: starves auto-mergeable PRs | git (5) |
+| 7 | `Cannot find replaceString … alpine:3.22` (INFO) | 1 per run | The same HelmRelease `image:` line is extracted by `flux` and `kubernetes` (also the velero plugin) | Cosmetic. The branch is still right | git (6) |
+| 8 | velero-plugin-for-aws stuck on `v1.14.3-rc.2` | 1 dep, 0 updates | Docker versioning treats `-rc.2` as a suffix, so stable `v1.14.3` and `v1.14.4` never qualify | **Real problem** (silent) | git (7) |
+| 9 | python 3.13→3.15 as auto-mergeable "minor" | 2 files | Language runtime minor | Risk if run for real | git (8) |
+| 10 | `WARN GitHub token is required` | run 353: 5 packages, 17 deps | No github.com token | Real (they were unmaintained) | **operator, done:** run 354 has no WARN and adds `pin-dependencies`, `kubevirt-cdi`, `actions-checkout-7.x`, `major-github-artifact-actions` |
+| 11 | Floating or untagged images (`invalid-value`) | 4: jackett, plex `latest`; pihole, keycloak no tag | No version to compare | Real, already documented | none in git. Pinning by hand is an operator/PM decision |
+| 12 | `runs-on: ubuntu-latest` `invalid-version` | 11 | The github-actions manager extracts runner labels | Cosmetic, debug-only | none |
+| 13 | `Docker Manifest is unknown` (debug) | 3 | HEAD on the all-zero placeholder digests | Expected. Clears when the own-image digest PRs merge | none |
+| 14 | `Docker: error fetching data from DockerHub` 403 (debug) | 5 | Hub refuses `page=11`. Renovate already has the tags | Cosmetic. Updates were still found | none |
+| 15 | `Config migration necessary` | 1 | Top-level `"docker": {"enabled": true}` | Cosmetic, pre-existing | none (as before) |
+
+**Checked and fine:**
+- The 3 own-image digest updates were found in both runs. All 4 `# renovate-digest:` markers parse.
+- No marker failed to parse.
+- No package file is under `conformance/runs` or `tests`, nor is `DECISIONS-LOG.md`, `decisions/` or
+  any `*.sops.yaml` (77 package files checked).
+- `kubevirt-cdi` grouping works.
+- The schedule window behaved as designed.
+- Vulnerability alerts: none in either log.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- I read both job logs in full (132 and 129 lines), and the router log for 10.0.0.38 during both
+  runs.
+- **`renovate-config-validator` on 44.167.0**: `Config validated successfully`. The migration diff
+  is only the pre-existing `docker` block.
+- **Local dry runs.** Pinned image, `--platform=local`, debug, origin/main snapshot. "Before" is
+  593d0fa and "after" is this config; the GitHub-hosted deps were skipped in both.
+  - **Extraction:** `regex` went from 6 files / 7 deps to **19 files / 20 deps**. Every other
+    manager is unchanged: flux 15, github-actions 24, kubernetes 131, kustomize 2.
+  - **Branches:** 33 before, **29 after**. Removed: gitea-28.x, qbittorrent-20.x, radarr-6.x,
+    nextcloud-35.x and postgresql-18.x. Added: velero `v1.14.3-rc.2 → v1.14.4` (patch).
+  - **Gitea, qbittorrent, radarr, sonarr, semaphore and seerr branches** now each carry
+    `catalog/<svc>.yaml` + `apps/wave-*/<svc>.yaml`.
+  - **The oauth2-proxy branch** carries `catalog/render.py` plus the 5 rendered apps and
+    `platform/crafty`.
+  - **The postgresql-16.x branch** carries all three Clusters.
+  - The 2 flux docker duplicates report `disabled`.
+- **render==golden holds for the new branch shape.**
+  - In the toolbox, I applied the gitea branch edit (catalog + apps) and the oauth2-proxy branch
+    edit (`render.py` constant + 5 apps) textually. `./ci/render-golden.sh` reported
+    `all 10 onboarded service golden(s) reproduce`, rc 0.
+  - Negative control, the old shape with only `apps/wave-0/gitea.yaml` bumped: rc 1,
+    `GOLDEN DRIFT`.
+  - Both edits were reverted afterwards.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **The effect of the automerge, label and dashboard-approval rules (3, 4, 5, 8). UNVERIFIED in a
+  run.** `--platform=local` stops before branch processing, so I saw only which updates exist, not
+  their merged flags. The matchers are standard (`matchPackageNames`, `matchManagers`,
+  `matchCurrentValue`, `matchUpdateTypes`). The next dispatch's debug log shows them per branch.
+- **`allowedVersions` under docker versioning** used Renovate's "Falling back to npm semver
+  syntax" path (16 debug lines). That it filters is shown by the five removed branches.
+- **render==golden for the other app branches** (qbittorrent, radarr, sonarr, semaphore, seerr). I
+  proved it only for gitea and oauth2-proxy. They have the same shape: one `source.image` line ↔
+  one rendered `image:` line.
+- **The `allowedVersions` rules duplicate `catalog/*/update.range`** and can drift from it. Nothing
+  checks them against each other. A lint comparing the two is the obvious follow-up.
+- **Any real (non-dry) run.** None has happened. PR creation, labels, auto-merge through Gitea's
+  API and the Dependency Dashboard issue are all unobserved.
+- **Sensitive path?** `renovate.json5` is not in `infra/gitea/approval-policy.json`, as far as I
+  know. CI's `approval-policy` result on the PR is the measurement.

decisions/2026-10-30-renovate-track-keycloak-operator.md

@@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
+---
+date: 2026-10-30
+branch: feat/renovate-track-keycloak-operator
+title: Renovate tracks the Keycloak operator (the real Keycloak version), never auto-merged; the catalog's phantom image is pinned as documentation and disabled
+---
+
+## What changed
+
+- **`platform/keycloak/kustomization.yaml`**: each of the three `keycloak-k8s-resources/26.0.6`
+  release URLs (two CRDs and `kubernetes.yml`) now has a
+  `# renovate: datasource=github-tags depName=keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources` marker on the line
+  above it. That is the format the existing `custom.regex` marker manager parses (the kubevirt
+  pattern). A comment explains that these URLs are the Keycloak version. The `Keycloak` CR has no
+  `spec.image`, so the operator's `RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK` picks the server image.
+- **`renovate.json5`** has two new packageRules:
+  - **`keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources`**: `groupName: keycloak-operator`, `automerge: false`,
+    `addLabels: [needs-review, blast-radius]`. A comment explains why. The operator, the CRDs and
+    the server are released in lockstep. The IdP gates SSO for every app and for kubectl. And
+    `passkey-reconciler.yaml` encodes Keycloak 26.0.6 Admin API shapes that the static gate never
+    exercises. Majors still go through the existing dashboard-approval rule.
+  - **`quay.io/keycloak/keycloak`**: `enabled: false`. Its only occurrences are in files that
+    deploy nothing.
+
+  The "STILL CANNOT FIX" comment also gains a one-line correction for keycloak.
+- **`catalog/keycloak.yaml`**: `source.image` changed from `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak` (no tag) to
+  `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6`. A comment says the image is DOCUMENTATION-ONLY and that the
+  operator chooses the real one. `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml` was re-rendered, which changes one
+  line.
+- **`platform/keycloak/README.md`**:
+  - Corrects the false claim "Renovate maintains the version". Until now Renovate could not see
+    the version.
+  - Adds a new section, **"Upgrading Keycloak: the operator IS the version"**. It lists the 26.0.6
+    assumptions in the passkey reconciler to diff against a new tag, and the post-merge checks.
+
+**The phantom: pin and disable, not delete.** `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml` is not listed in
+`apps/wave-1/kustomization.yaml`, and render-golden excludes it (`RENDER_GOLDEN_NOT_ONBOARDED`).
+Deleting it would still not be a no-op:
+
+- It is the fixture for the keycloak cases in `apps/wave-1/tests/app-slis.test.yaml` (the
+  StatefulSet-based `keycloak-down` rule). Those cases are discovered by the
+  every-PrometheusRule-in-apps/wave-1 convention.
+- Removing it means moving that rule and its tests to `platform/keycloak`. That is a separate
+  observability change, not a Renovate one.
+
+Pinning plus `enabled: false` changes one line in a file nothing applies. It cannot affect the
+cluster, and render-golden stays green.
+
+## What I verified
+
+- **Live state, prod, read-only kubectl, 2026-10-30.**
+  - Keycloak CR `keycloak` has an empty `spec.image`.
+  - The operator Deployment runs `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak-operator:26.0.6`, imageID
+    `sha256:8e3a1a56346f…`, with `RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK=quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6`.
+  - `keycloak-0` and `keycloak-1` both run `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6`, imageID
+    `sha256:a93d22e13b86…`.
+  - There is no PrometheusRule containing "keycloak" in any namespace. This confirms the phantom
+    deploys nothing, including its `keycloak-down` rule (see the next section).
+- **`renovate-config-validator`** on the pinned `ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate:44.167.0`:
+  `Config validated successfully`. The only migration note is the pre-existing `docker` block.
+- **Local dry run** (`RENOVATE_PLATFORM=local`, `RENOVATE_DRY_RUN=full`, debug, the same pinned
+  image, this worktree, with a GitHub token passed by environment variable; the token string
+  occurs 0 times in the log):
+  - The regex manager went to 21 files / 24 deps.
+  - `keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources` was extracted three times from
+    `platform/keycloak/kustomization.yaml`, each at `currentValue 26.0.6`, datasource
+    `github-tags`, versioning `semver`.
+  - Each extraction has one update, `26.8.1`, updateType `minor`, and all three share **one**
+    `branchName: renovate/keycloak-operator`.
+  - `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak` was extracted from `catalog/keycloak.yaml` (regex) and from
+    `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml` (kubernetes) at 26.0.6, with `skipReason: disabled` and no
+    updates.
+- **Rule effects.** `--platform=local` does not print each branch's merged flags. So I ran
+  Renovate's own `applyPackageRules` (from `dist/util/package-rules` in the same 44.167.0 image)
+  over this `renovate.json5` for each case:
+
+  | Update | Result |
+  |---|---|
+  | operator minor 26.0.6 → 26.8.1 | `automerge:false`, `groupName:keycloak-operator`, labels `dependencies, automated-update, needs-review, blast-radius` |
+  | operator patch | same as the minor |
+  | operator major | `automerge:false`, `dependencyDashboardApproval:true`, labels add `breaking` |
+  | `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak`, catalog and rendered | `enabled:false` |
+  | control: sonarr patch | `automerge:true`, so the rule did not disable auto-merge globally |
+- **render-golden, host:** `render.py --selftest` passed, and `all 10 onboarded service golden(s)
+  reproduce`. Before the pin, the committed phantom was byte-identical to the canonical render. I
+  re-rendered it after the pin.
+- **Toolbox gate** (commit 24db269, worktree with the ENGINE shim mounting `.git` and the spec
+  repo, `DEV_KUBECONFIG=/dev/null`): **rc 3**.
+  - The only stage that did not run is **`gitea-settings`**.
+  - spec-immutability, decisions-log, lint, l0, render-golden, l1 and approval-policy all passed.
+  - L2/L3 `conformance` scaffold-skipped, as expected.
+  - **Not green.**
+- **Sensitive paths:** none touched (checked against `infra/gitea/approval-policy.json`), so no
+  `/approve-override` is needed.
+
+## What I did NOT verify
+
+- **A real Renovate run.** No PR was opened by Renovate. The labels and `automerge:false` are
+  proven by Renovate's own matcher, not by an opened PR.
+- **That 26.8.1 is safe to adopt.** I did not diff 26.0.6 against 26.8.1. That includes the
+  reconciler's assumptions: `recurseExecutions` displayName, `updateExecutions`, the
+  `RpEntityName` guard, `requiredActions` REPLACE, and config aliases. The README section lists
+  them for whoever reviews the first bump PR. It also says to take or confirm a fresh CNPG backup
+  first, because a server minor may migrate the schema.
+- **FINDING, not fixed: Keycloak has no deployed "IdP down" alert.** The `keycloak-down` SLI rule
+  exists only inside the undeployed `apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml`. promtool tests it, but it is not
+  on the cluster: there is no keycloak PrometheusRule live. Separately, because that file exists,
+  `render.py --emit-waves` would treat keycloak as onboarded. It would then add a Deployment named
+  `keycloak` beside the operator's StatefulSet (the known `--emit-waves` hazard). The proper fix is
+  a separate PR: move the rule and its tests into `platform/keycloak`, then delete the phantom.
+- **The catalog tag can drift.** Nothing ties `catalog/keycloak.yaml`'s documentation tag to the
+  operator URLs. It must be updated by hand after an operator bump, and the README says so.
+- **Concurrent branches** `fix/renovate-hold-auth-and-self` and `feat/pin-pihole-jackett-plex`
+  also edit `renovate.json5`. Neither had merged when I checked. A rebase may be needed.

infra/agent/versions.env

@@ -18,7 +18,7 @@
 # digest. For a LOCAL build on a local toolbox, override it:
 #   infra/devcontainer/dev.sh build && AGENT_BASE_IMAGE=home-k3s-dev:local infra/agent/build-image.sh
 # renovate-digest: image=gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/toolbox tag=main
-AGENT_BASE_IMAGE=gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/toolbox@sha256:0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
+AGENT_BASE_IMAGE=gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/toolbox@sha256:d435fabd6fc43bf5bb4de0c1ea8c4b19d8cea5c858679bd1675ccbed471b528a
 
 # Node.js — the runtime for the Claude Code CLI, installed from the Fedora base's module
 # stream. A major version, not a patch: the CLI supports the active LTS line and the

platform/keycloak/README.md

@@ -19,7 +19,9 @@ Docker Hub images were purged (DECISIONS-LOG **F-KY1**) → that path ImagePullB
   3-replica **`longhorn`** StorageClass (DR-critical, R-IDP-05), with declarative backup hooks.
 
 quay.io + ghcr.io are unaffected by the Bitnami purge. Operator manifests are pinned upstream release
-files pulled as remote kustomize bases (the kubevirt-stub pattern); Renovate maintains the version.
+files pulled as remote kustomize bases (the kubevirt-stub pattern). Renovate tracks the version via
+`# renovate:` markers on those URLs (since 2026-10-30 — before that it could not see them) and never
+auto-merges it; see [Upgrading Keycloak](#upgrading-keycloak-the-operator-is-the-version).
 
 ## Layout (controllers / configs split — F-MON1)
 
@@ -360,6 +362,38 @@ it on the BOUND flow, after go-live, in order:
 A failed passkey ceremony is usually silent in the server log — the browser refuses before Keycloak
 is involved — so step 2 failing with no log entry is the expected signature of a wrong RP ID.
 
+## Upgrading Keycloak: the operator IS the version
+
+The `Keycloak` CR has no `spec.image`, so the server image is whatever the operator's
+`RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK` names — the same tag as the operator (prod, 2026-10-30: operator
+`26.0.6`, `keycloak-0/1` on `quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:26.0.6`). Operator, CRDs and server are
+released in lockstep from `keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources`, and the three URLs in
+`kustomization.yaml` are the one knob. Renovate raises them as ONE PR (`keycloak-operator` group,
+labels `needs-review` + `blast-radius`), **never auto-merged**; majors wait for a dashboard tick.
+`catalog/keycloak.yaml`'s image tag is documentation only (its render deploys nothing) and
+Renovate is disabled for it — update it by hand to match after an operator bump merges.
+
+**An operator bump requires re-checking the passkey reconciler's assumptions.**
+`passkey-reconciler.yaml` (and `ci/render-keycloak-passkey-policy.py`, which generates its desired
+state) is written against **Keycloak 26.0.6 Admin API behaviour read from that tag's source** —
+grep it for `26.0.6`. The gate cannot catch a break: it is static and never runs the reconciler
+against a server. Before merging a bump, diff the new tag against 26.0.6 for at least:
+
+- `AuthenticationManagementResource.recurseExecutions` — does a sub-flow row still carry its name
+  in `displayName` (not `alias`)? The reconciler's flow matching depends on it.
+- `updateExecutions` / execution-requirement updates — same request shape and id resolution?
+- the WebAuthn Passwordless policy — is it still gated all-or-nothing on a non-empty
+  `webAuthnPolicyPasswordlessRpEntityName`, and does a realm `PUT` still REPLACE rather than merge
+  `requiredActions`? (The strict read-modify-write exists because of both.)
+- authenticator-config alias handling for copied flows.
+
+Then, after the merge reconciles (operator actions): watch the `Keycloak` CR reach Ready and both
+pods roll; run the reconciler once **with `--audit`** (see "Passkeys" above for the one-off Job)
+and confirm it reports convergence with no write; confirm the client-secret and client-URL
+reconcilers' next runs succeed; log in to one SSO app and run one `kubectl --context k3s-prod`
+OIDC command. Roll back by reverting the PR — but a server minor may migrate the database
+schema on start, so take/confirm a fresh CNPG backup before merging.
+
 ## Exceptions that keep native auth (do not force SSO) — ADR-0014
 
 Plex/Seerr (Plex auth), Minecraft (Mojang/Microsoft), UniFi (native).

platform/keycloak/kustomization.yaml

@@ -21,8 +21,17 @@ namespace: keycloak
 resources:
   - namespace.yaml
   # --- Keycloak Operator v26.0.6 (pinned upstream release manifests) ---
+  # The operator, its CRDs and the SERVER IMAGE move in lockstep: the Keycloak CR has no
+  # spec.image, so the operator's RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK (quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:<same tag>)
+  # is what runs. These three URLs are therefore THE Keycloak version. Each carries a Renovate
+  # marker (custom.regex manager, renovate.json5) under ONE depName, so all three bump in ONE
+  # branch, never auto-merged (packageRule "keycloak-operator"). Before merging a bump, re-check
+  # passkey-reconciler.yaml's 26.0.6 Admin API assumptions — see README.md "Upgrading Keycloak".
+  # renovate: datasource=github-tags depName=keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources
   - https://raw.githubusercontent.com/keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources/26.0.6/kubernetes/keycloaks.k8s.keycloak.org-v1.yml
+  # renovate: datasource=github-tags depName=keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources
   - https://raw.githubusercontent.com/keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources/26.0.6/kubernetes/keycloakrealmimports.k8s.keycloak.org-v1.yml
+  # renovate: datasource=github-tags depName=keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources
   - https://raw.githubusercontent.com/keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources/26.0.6/kubernetes/kubernetes.yml
   # --- Admin (break-glass) credential — SOPS-encrypted, referenced by name (ADR-0007, R-IDP-04) ---
   - keycloak-admin-credentials.sops.yaml

platform/pm-agent/configmap.yaml

@@ -59,7 +59,7 @@ data:
   # Until the first publish the dispatcher starts, fails to pull, and says so — which is the
   # visible failure, not a silent one.
   # renovate-digest: image=gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/agent-runner tag=main
-  PM_WORKER_IMAGE: "gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/agent-runner@sha256:0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000"
+  PM_WORKER_IMAGE: "gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/agent-runner@sha256:c4eba5b3c508bf456a03391ac76f8275e7ea28a829da1450d99f6f6f25c6eb42"
 
   # --- the model -------------------------------------------------------------
   # The PM only reads a thread and answers with one JSON object, so it holds no tools and

platform/pm-agent/deployment.yaml

@@ -72,7 +72,7 @@ spec:
           # of agent-runner's `main` tag (.gitea/workflows/images.yaml) — the all-zero
           # placeholder below is impossible on purpose (see configmap.yaml PM_WORKER_IMAGE).
           # renovate-digest: image=gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/agent-runner tag=main
-          image: gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/agent-runner@sha256:0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
+          image: gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/agent-runner@sha256:c4eba5b3c508bf456a03391ac76f8275e7ea28a829da1450d99f6f6f25c6eb42
           imagePullPolicy: IfNotPresent
           command:
             - /usr/local/bin/pm-dispatch

renovate.json5

@@ -149,6 +149,50 @@
       ],
       "datasourceTemplate": "docker",
       "versioningTemplate": "docker"
+    },
+    // ADDED 2026-10-30 — THE CATALOG IS THE SOURCE; apps/wave-*/*.yaml IS GENERATED FROM IT.
+    // First real dry run (dispatch runs 353/354): EVERY app-image update edited only the rendered
+    // apps/wave-*/*.yaml and NONE edited catalog/. The `kubernetes` manager lists catalog/ above
+    // but extracts nothing there: a ServiceDefinition has no `apiVersion`, so it is not a
+    // Kubernetes manifest to that manager (measured: 0 deps from catalog/). Every such PR would
+    // fail ci/render-golden.sh (the canonical render reverts the bump), sit red and hold a
+    // prConcurrentLimit slot. These two managers read the SOURCES, under the SAME depName as the
+    // rendered line, so both land in ONE branch and render==golden holds: `source.image` in each
+    // ServiceDefinition, and render.py's OAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE (the six auth sidecars).
+    {
+      "customType": "regex",
+      "description": "ServiceDefinition `source.image: <repo>:<tag>` (catalog/*.yaml) — the source of the rendered apps/wave-* image.",
+      "managerFilePatterns": ["/(^|/)catalog/[^/]+\\.ya?ml$/"],
+      "matchStrings": [
+        "\\n\\s+image:\\s*(?<depName>[^\\s:@#\"']+):(?<currentValue>[^\\s@#\"']+)"
+      ],
+      "datasourceTemplate": "docker"
+    },
+    {
+      "customType": "regex",
+      "description": "catalog/render.py OAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE — the per-app oauth2-proxy sidecar every forward-auth app is rendered with.",
+      "managerFilePatterns": ["/(^|/)catalog/render\\.py$/"],
+      "matchStrings": [
+        "\\nOAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE\\s*=\\s*\"(?<depName>[^\":@]+):(?<currentValue>[^\"@]+)\""
+      ],
+      "datasourceTemplate": "docker"
+    },
+    // ADDED 2026-10-30 — CNPG `Cluster.spec.imageName`. The `kubernetes` manager reads `image:` only,
+    // so the three database Clusters (platform/keycloak/postgres-cluster.yaml, apps/wave-0/
+    // nextcloud-db.yaml, apps/wave-0/semaphore-db.yaml) were untracked, while the grant Job in
+    // nextcloud-db.yaml — whose comment says "keep the tag in step with spec.imageName" — WAS. A real
+    // run would have bumped the Job and left the database behind. Same depName, so one branch.
+    {
+      "customType": "regex",
+      "description": "CloudNativePG Cluster `imageName: <repo>:<tag>`.",
+      "managerFilePatterns": [
+        "/(^|/)platform/.+\\.ya?ml$/",
+        "/(^|/)apps/.+\\.ya?ml$/"
+      ],
+      "matchStrings": [
+        "\\n\\s+imageName:\\s*(?<depName>[^\\s:@#\"']+):(?<currentValue>[^\\s@#\"']+)"
+      ],
+      "datasourceTemplate": "docker"
     }
   ],
   "packageRules": [
@@ -200,7 +244,15 @@
         "longhorn",
         "cilium",
         "cloudnative-pg",
-        "kube-prometheus-stack"
+        "kube-prometheus-stack",
+        // ADDED 2026-10-30. gitea and act_runner ARE the merge gate: a bad auto-merged bump takes
+        // down the very check that would have to approve its revert (the dry run proposed gitea
+        // 1.24.3 -> 1.27.3 and act_runner 0.2.11 -> 0.6.1, both as auto-mergeable "minor"; a 0.x
+        // minor is a breaking line by semver). The postgresql image restarts every CNPG database,
+        // Keycloak's (the IdP) included, now that imageName is tracked.
+        "gitea/gitea",
+        "gitea/act_runner",
+        "ghcr.io/cloudnative-pg/postgresql"
       ],
       "automerge": false,
       "addLabels": [
@@ -208,6 +260,35 @@
         "blast-radius"
       ]
     },
+    // ADDED 2026-10-30 — THE KEYCLOAK OPERATOR IS THE KEYCLOAK VERSION. The operator, its CRDs
+    // and the server image are released in lockstep from keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources, and the
+    // Keycloak CR carries no spec.image, so the operator's RELATED_IMAGE_KEYCLOAK picks the server
+    // (measured on prod 2026-10-30: operator 26.0.6 -> keycloak-0/1 run quay.io/keycloak/keycloak:
+    // 26.0.6). The three release URLs in platform/keycloak/kustomization.yaml carry `# renovate:`
+    // markers under this ONE depName, so they move together in one branch (groupName makes that
+    // explicit). NEVER AUTO-MERGED, not even a patch: Keycloak is the IdP that gates SSO for every
+    // app AND kubectl OIDC, and platform/keycloak/passkey-reconciler.yaml encodes Keycloak 26.0.6
+    // Admin API shapes read from that tag's source (sub-flow rows named by displayName, the
+    // RpEntityName all-or-nothing guard, requiredActions REPLACE-not-merge, ...). The gate is
+    // static and does not run that reconciler against a server, so a green check says nothing
+    // about whether a bump breaks it. Majors still wait on the dashboard (rule at the bottom).
+    {
+      "description": "Keycloak operator + CRDs + server (lockstep, one branch). IdP blast radius; passkey-reconciler.yaml encodes 26.0.6 Admin API shapes — re-check it against the new tag before merging. Never auto-merge.",
+      "matchDepNames": ["keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources"],
+      "groupName": "keycloak-operator",
+      "automerge": false,
+      "addLabels": ["needs-review", "blast-radius"]
+    },
+    // ADDED 2026-10-30 — quay.io/keycloak/keycloak IS NOT A DEPENDENCY RENOVATE MAY MOVE. Its only
+    // occurrences are catalog/keycloak.yaml `source.image` and the apps/wave-1/keycloak.yaml it
+    // renders, which is NOT listed in apps/wave-1/kustomization.yaml and deploys nothing (the
+    // operator above runs the server). A PR bumping it would change no running pod while looking
+    // like a Keycloak upgrade, and could drift from the operator's real version.
+    {
+      "description": "quay.io/keycloak/keycloak appears only in the documentation-only catalog/keycloak.yaml and its undeployed render; the operator (keycloak/keycloak-k8s-resources) chooses the real server image.",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["quay.io/keycloak/keycloak"],
+      "enabled": false
+    },
     {
       "description": "ADDED 2026-10-29. This repo's own images are followed ONLY through the `# renovate-digest:` markers above. The `kubernetes` manager also sees platform/pm-agent/deployment.yaml and infra/agent/worker-job-template.yaml, where the image has a digest and no tag; left on, it would look those up as `latest` (a tag CI never pushes) and, for the template, re-open the self-referential loop the custom manager deliberately avoids.",
       "matchManagers": ["kubernetes"],
@@ -227,6 +308,96 @@
         "gitea.home.keithjackson.dev/home-network/conformance-runner"
       ],
       "addLabels": ["own-image"]
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. The `flux` manager also extracts `image:` lines inside HelmRelease values, which the `kubernetes` manager already owns. Measured: exactly two (alpine in platform/oauth2-proxy/helmrelease.yaml, velero-plugin-for-aws in platform/velero/helmrelease.yaml), each extracted twice; the second rewrite of the same line logged `Cannot find replaceString in current file content` in runs 353/354. Flux keeps its charts (datasource helm).",
+      "matchManagers": ["flux"],
+      "matchDatasources": ["docker"],
+      "enabled": false
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. MIRRORS catalog/<svc>.yaml `update.range` — the operator's declared per-service policy (schemas/servicedefinition.schema.json), which Renovate does not read. Without it the dry run proposed gitea 28.2.0, qbittorrent 20.04.1 (both stale/odd tags, not real successors), radarr 6.x and nextcloud 35 (four majors past 31; Nextcloud cannot skip majors). KEEP IN STEP with the catalog ranges.",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["gitea/gitea"],
+      "allowedVersions": "<2.0.0"
+    },
+    { "matchPackageNames": ["nextcloud"], "allowedVersions": "<32.0.0" },
+    { "matchPackageNames": ["lscr.io/linuxserver/qbittorrent"], "allowedVersions": "<6.0.0" },
+    { "matchPackageNames": ["lscr.io/linuxserver/radarr"], "allowedVersions": "<6.0.0" },
+    { "matchPackageNames": ["lscr.io/linuxserver/sonarr"], "allowedVersions": "<5.0.0" },
+    { "matchPackageNames": ["semaphoreui/semaphore"], "allowedVersions": "<3.0.0" },
+    // ADDED 2026-10-30 — pihole, jackett and plex, PINNED to the digests that were already running
+    // (catalog/{pihole,jackett,plex}.yaml; each tag was resolved against the registry and matched the
+    // pods' imageID, so the pin changed nothing at runtime). None of the three catalog `update.range`
+    // values has a ceiling (pihole >=2024.0.0, jackett >=0.22.0, plex >=1.40.0), so the
+    // allowedVersions mirror above needs no entry for them.
+    //
+    // pihole/pihole needs NO rule: its CalVer tags (YYYY.MM.N, e.g. 2026.10.0) parse under the
+    // default `docker` versioning. Patches and minors (2026.10.0 -> 2026.10.1 / 2026.11.0) therefore
+    // AUTO-MERGE on a green gate under rule 1 — the operator's explicit choice, not an oversight; do
+    // not add a hold here. A YEAR ROLLOVER (2026.x -> 2027.x) is a MAJOR, so it waits for a tick on
+    // the Dependency Dashboard (rule below) and is never auto-merged.
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. LinuxServer tags: `vX.Y.Z-lsN` is the IMMUTABLE build tag (bare `X.Y.Z` and `latest` are re-pushed for every ls rebuild). Docker versioning would treat `-ls7` as a compatibility suffix and only ever compare tags with the SAME suffix, so it would never move. This is Renovate's own regex-versioning example for linuxserver images: the ls build number becomes the `build` component, so an ls rebuild of the same Jackett is an update too. The `^v` and `$` anchors exclude `latest`, `development`, the bare mutable `X.Y.Z` tags and the arch-prefixed (`amd64-v...`) tags.",
+      "matchDepNames": ["lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett"],
+      "versioning": "regex:^v(?<major>\\d+)\\.(?<minor>\\d+)\\.(?<patch>\\d+)-ls(?<build>\\d+)$"
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. LOOK JACKETT UP ON ghcr.io, NOT lscr.io. lscr.io is LinuxServer's redirector in front of ghcr.io/linuxserver (same manifests: v0.24.2865-ls7 is sha256:4fcf3cc2... on both). Renovate's docker datasource fetches up to 1000 pages of tags from ghcr.io but only `dockerMaxPages` (default 20, a GLOBAL-only option) from any other host (lib/modules/datasource/docker/index.js getTags). Jackett has 32,093 tags at ~1000 per page (measured 2026-10-30), oldest first; the running tag is #31,980, so a lookup via lscr.io never sees it or anything newer and silently proposes NOTHING (measured in a dry run before this rule). overridePackageName changes only the lookup; the file keeps `lscr.io/...`, so the deployed image string does not change. Matched by depName because packageName is what this rule rewrites.",
+      "matchDepNames": ["lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett"],
+      "overridePackageName": "ghcr.io/linuxserver/jackett"
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. Jackett publishes ~daily (13 ls builds in 12 days, measured 2026-10-30) and every one is a `patch` under the regex above, i.e. auto-mergeable. Left on the global daily window that is a PR, a gate run and a jackett pod restart EVERY DAY for an indexer proxy whose individual builds nobody needs promptly. WEEKLY instead: Renovate proposes only the newest tag when the window opens, so nothing is skipped, it is just batched. The window is still inside the global 03:00-06:00 local one that .gitea/workflows/renovate.yaml's 08:15 UTC cron lands in. NOTE: catalog/jackett.yaml `update.cadence` still says daily (`0 4 * * *`); that field drove Flux image-automation, which is retired, and this rule is the effective cadence now.",
+      "matchDepNames": ["lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett"],
+      "schedule": ["after 3am and before 6am on sunday"]
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. Plex tags are `<major>.<minor>.<patch>.<build>-<commit hex>` (e.g. 1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c). Docker versioning reads `-e5521bd8c` as a compatibility suffix that differs on EVERY release, so it would never find a successor. The trailing `$` excludes the per-arch variants and the floating `latest`/`public`/`beta`/`plexpass` tags. A version tag does NOT self-update inside the container: cont-init 50-plex-update exits early when /version.txt matches the installed package, so what is pinned is what runs.",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["plexinc/pms-docker"],
+      "versioning": "regex:^(?<major>\\d+)\\.(?<minor>\\d+)\\.(?<patch>\\d+)\\.(?<build>\\d+)-[0-9a-f]+$"
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. A CNPG Postgres MAJOR is a migration (new cluster + import), not an image bump; the dry run proposed 16.4 -> 18.6. Minors stay (and are blast-radius, above).",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["ghcr.io/cloudnative-pg/postgresql"],
+      "allowedVersions": "<17.0.0"
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. A HelmRelease semver RANGE is a policy ceiling, and Renovate does not respect it — it WIDENS it (dry run: external-dns `<1.22.0` -> `<1.24.0`, headlamp `<0.42.0` -> `<0.47.0`), and the default rule would then auto-merge that as a 'minor', silently letting Flux adopt every new minor. Raising a ceiling is deliberate per-component work: propose it, never auto-merge it.",
+      "matchManagers": ["flux"],
+      "matchCurrentValue": "/^[<>=~^]|\\.x$/",
+      "automerge": false,
+      "addLabels": ["needs-review", "range-widen"]
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. velero-plugin-for-aws is pinned to a RELEASE CANDIDATE (v1.14.3-rc.2) and Renovate proposed NOTHING for it, although v1.14.3 and v1.14.4 are stable on Docker Hub. Docker versioning treats everything after the first `-` as a compatibility SUFFIX, so only other `*-rc.2` tags qualify and the RC is a fossil forever. Semver versioning reads it as a prerelease, and a prerelease upgrades to the stable release.",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["velero/velero-plugin-for-aws"],
+      "versioning": "semver"
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. A python MINOR is a language-runtime release (the dry run proposed 3.13 -> 3.15 for the Keycloak reconcilers), and the gate does not execute those scripts. Review it; patches still auto-merge.",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["python"],
+      "matchUpdateTypes": ["minor"],
+      "automerge": false,
+      "addLabels": ["needs-review"]
+    },
+    // OPERATOR DECISION 2026-10-30: these two never auto-merge, at ANY update type. Both sit after
+    // the auto-merge rule (rule 1) so they override it; `needs-review` is added, not replaced.
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30 (operator decision). The oauth2-proxy image, under the ONE depName every source of it emits: catalog/render.py OAUTH2_PROXY_IMAGE (custom regex manager), the rendered apps/wave-* sidecars and platform/crafty/deployment.yaml (kubernetes manager). WHY: since v7.13.0 oauth2-proxy validates REFRESHED OIDC sessions against the ACCESS token instead of the id_token (upstream CHANGELOG, v7.13.0), every sidecar sets --cookie-refresh, and that refresh path has never run against this Keycloak (the platform oauth2-proxy runs v7.15.5 WITHOUT --cookie-refresh). render-golden and render.py --selftest pass on the bump, but both check rendered text, not the binary, so a green gate is not evidence here.",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["quay.io/oauth2-proxy/oauth2-proxy"],
+      "automerge": false,
+      "addLabels": ["needs-review"]
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30 (operator decision). Renovate's OWN version: the job `container.image` pin in .gitea/workflows/renovate.yaml (ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate), and renovatebot/github-action should it ever be reintroduced (ci/lint.sh rejects it today). WHY: nothing re-validates renovate.json5 against the NEW version before it takes effect. The gate does not run renovate-config-validator, and this exact gap has bitten before: the action's default 39.x rejected this file (managerFilePatterns needs >= 40.2.0) and every run stopped at CONFIG_VALIDATION. Run the validator from the new tag, then merge.",
+      "matchPackageNames": ["ghcr.io/renovatebot/renovate", "renovatebot/github-action"],
+      "automerge": false,
+      "addLabels": ["needs-review"]
+    },
+    {
+      "description": "ADDED 2026-10-30. MAJORS WAIT FOR A TICK ON THE DEPENDENCY DASHBOARD instead of opening a PR. They are never auto-merged anyway, and with prConcurrentLimit 5 the dry run's 10 majors would hold every PR slot open indefinitely, starving the patch/minor/digest PRs that can merge on green.",
+      "matchUpdateTypes": ["major"],
+      "dependencyDashboardApproval": true
     }
   ],
   // WHAT RENOVATE STILL CANNOT FIX, so nobody mistakes a working bot for full coverage. A
@@ -235,10 +406,18 @@
   // lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:latest, pihole/pihole (NO TAG AT ALL), quay.io/keycloak/keycloak
   // (no tag), nextcloud:31-apache and docker:27-dind. Those must be pinned BY HAND to a concrete
   // version before any automation can maintain them, and until then they drift on every pull with
-  // nothing recording what is running. Separately, the HelmRelease minor-locking ranges (9 of 12,
-  // e.g. `>=88.0.0 <89.0.0` on kube-prometheus-stack) cap Renovate at patches inside a line it
-  // has been told not to leave; raising those ceilings is deliberate per-component work and is
-  // NOT part of enabling the bot. Both lists are in decisions/2026-10-17-automated-upgrades.md.
+  // nothing recording what is running. CORRECTED 2026-10-30: nextcloud:31-apache and docker:27-dind
+  // ARE maintained (the first dry run proposed 35-apache and 29-dind; the suffix is kept).
+  // CORRECTED 2026-10-30: quay.io/keycloak/keycloak was never a running reference — the operator
+  // picks the server image — and the Keycloak version is now tracked via the operator URLs.
+  // CORRECTED 2026-10-30 (feat/pin-pihole-jackett-plex): pms-docker, jackett and pihole are now
+  // PINNED (1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c, v0.24.2865-ls7, 2026.10.0 — the digests that were running) and
+  // maintained via the versioning rules above. None of the three publishes "only latest": all three
+  // publish immutable version tags, they were simply never referenced.
+  // Separately, the HelmRelease minor-locking ranges (9 of 12, e.g. `>=88.0.0 <89.0.0` on
+  // kube-prometheus-stack): THIS FILE USED TO SAY they cap Renovate at patches. They do not —
+  // Renovate WIDENS the range (runs 353/354). The `range-widen` rule above keeps that a reviewed
+  // PR rather than an auto-merge. Both lists are in decisions/2026-10-17-automated-upgrades.md.
   // platform/kyverno/tests/** ADDED 2026-10-17: those Kyverno policy fixtures pin `alpine:latest`
   // and a `conformance-runner:latest`, which are test inputs whose whole point is to be a fixed
   // shape, not software to keep current. `conformance/**` was already ignored for the same

runbooks/image-policy-stalled.md

@@ -112,10 +112,12 @@ A private repository with no `secretRef`, or an expired token. The message names
 ### 4. The policy's range matches nothing
 `ImagePolicy` semver ranges come from each ServiceDefinition's `update.range` (for example
 `">=2024.0.0"` for pihole, `">=24.0.0"` for keycloak). A range that no published tag satisfies — or a
-repository that publishes only `latest` (this platform has `lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett:latest` and
-`plexinc/pms-docker:latest`) — leaves the policy with nothing to select. Remediation: fix the range in
-`catalog/<service>.yaml` and re-render; a `latest`-only image cannot participate in automation at all
-and should not carry a policy.
+repository that publishes only `latest` — leaves the policy with nothing to select. Remediation: fix
+the range in `catalog/<service>.yaml` and re-render; a `latest`-only image cannot participate in
+automation at all and should not carry a policy. (CORRECTED 2026-10-30: this page used to name
+`lscr.io/linuxserver/jackett` and `plexinc/pms-docker` as `latest`-only. Neither is — both publish
+immutable version tags (`v0.24.2865-ls7`, `1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c`) — they were merely *deployed* as
+`:latest`. Both are now pinned to those tags and maintained by Renovate, not by an ImagePolicy.)
 
 ### 5. Egress is blocked for that namespace
 Default-deny everywhere (R-NET-01) means outbound registry access is an explicit allow. Cross-read

runbooks/plex-claim.md

@@ -21,7 +21,8 @@ which is why this page exists: the loop is scripted and the reconcile is **force
 waited for. Measured end to end on 2026-09-29: **~2m45s**.
 
 **An expired or wrong token does not break anything.** Verified against the image's own first-run
-script (and the copy inside `plexinc/pms-docker:latest`): a failed exchange gets a 403 with an empty
+script (and the copy inside the image then running as `plexinc/pms-docker:latest`; pinned to a version
+tag since 2026-10-30): a failed exchange gets a 403 with an empty
 body, `curl`'s status is never checked, the token `sed` yields empty, the `if` does not fire, there is
 no `else` and no `exit 1`, and the script (no `set -e`) exits 0. The pod comes up **unclaimed and
 serving**. So a burnt token costs you one more attempt, not an outage — and the repo deliberately
@@ -186,4 +187,5 @@ When the claim does not take, in order of how often it is the answer here:
 Source of truth: `runbooks/plex-claim.md`. Index: `/runbooks/`
 Upstream behaviour cited here is from `plexinc/pms-docker` branch `master`,
 `root/etc/cont-init.d/40-plex-first-run` (s6-overlay v2), cross-checked against the same file inside
-the running `plexinc/pms-docker:latest` image.
+the image that was running at the time as `plexinc/pms-docker:latest` (the deployment has been pinned
+to a version tag, `catalog/plex.yaml` `source.image`, since 2026-10-30).

runbooks/plex-quicksync.md

@@ -371,8 +371,8 @@ verify".)
    2026-10-01, so this means a node changed — a rebuild, a BIOS reset, or a driver regression.
    **Fix the node.**
 
-4. **The image changed under you.** See "The floating-image caveat". A `:latest` pull can remove the
-   mechanism this feature leans on with no commit in this repo.
+4. **The image changed under you.** See "The image-version caveat". A pms-docker version bump (a
+   Renovate PR, possibly auto-merged) can remove the mechanism this feature leans on.
 
 5. **The session was never transcoding.** Direct Play / Direct Stream never reaches the transcoder,
    so no `hardware transcoding:` line is written for it at all. An *absent* line is this, not a
@@ -446,17 +446,21 @@ revert you):
 Re-adding the field later is the same edit in reverse. Nothing about the Plex-side toggle or the
 `/config` PVC is affected either way — do **not** delete the PVC as part of this.
 
-## The floating-image caveat
+## The image-version caveat
 
 Everything this page states about the image's behaviour — the `cont-init.d` hook that adds the app
 user to the device's group, the absence of `PLEX_PREFERENCE*`, the six `setPref` keys, the
 `HardwareAcceleratedCodecs` string — was read from digest **`sha256:e0ab27395614…`**
 (`plexmediaserver 1.43.4.10903`).
 
-The deployment runs **`plexinc/pms-docker:latest` with `imagePullPolicy: Always`**. A silent pull can
-therefore change the behaviour this feature depends on **with no commit in this repo**, while the
-manifest still looks identical. Symptom to watch for: hardware transcoding that worked and quietly
-stopped, with no git change to point at.
+**Since 2026-10-30 that digest is pinned:** `catalog/plex.yaml` names
+`plexinc/pms-docker:1.43.4.10903-e5521bd8c`, which resolved to exactly `sha256:e0ab27395614…` on
+Docker Hub. Before that the deployment ran the floating `:latest` (implicitly `imagePullPolicy:
+Always`), and a silent pull could change this behaviour with no commit in the repo. That is no longer
+the failure mode: the image now changes only through a **Renovate PR** bumping that tag (patch/minor
+ones auto-merge on a green gate, and the gate does not exercise QuickSync). So the symptom to watch
+for is hardware transcoding that quietly stopped **after a `chore(deps)` pms-docker bump** — check
+`git log -- catalog/plex.yaml` first.
 
 ```
 infra/devcontainer/dev.sh run bash -c \